La Liga·Regular Season - 34·
La Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.753.09safe0.37–2.310.90–2.611.27–4.92safer0.12–2.560.67–2.830.79–5.40
Shots on target
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.989.51safe2.67–6.403.24–6.725.91–13.12safer2.18–6.892.77–7.194.95–14.07
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0913.7827.87safe10.17–18.0110.22–17.3420.38–35.36safer9.07–19.119.26–18.3018.33–37.41
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.129.5917.71safe5.18–11.076.91–12.2712.09–23.33safer4.35–11.896.17–13.0110.52–24.90
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.027.73safe1.83–5.592.37–5.674.19–11.27safer1.28–6.141.88–6.173.16–12.30
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.165.2010.36safe2.94–7.373.20–7.206.14–14.57safer2.37–7.942.67–7.735.04–15.68
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction48.1453.01safe41.35–54.9346.22–59.79safer39.68–56.6044.55–61.46
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction462495957safe395–529428–561823–1090safer377–548411–578787–1126
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction63.4572.56safe59.42–67.4868.24–76.88safer58.13–68.7766.93–78.19
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4411.0821.51safe7.60–13.278.13–14.0215.73–27.30safer6.84–14.037.39–14.7714.23–28.80
Offsides
54%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.671.954.61safe1.51–3.830.85–3.042.36–6.87safer1.21–4.130.56–3.331.77–7.46
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.823.38safe0.51–2.610.69–2.951.20–5.56safer0.24–2.880.40–3.240.64–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.046.37safe1.89–4.761.48–4.603.37–9.36safer1.50–5.151.06–5.022.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.83 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.40 2.18–6.89 | 4.98 3.24–6.72 2.77–7.19 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 38% 49% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.17–18.01 9.07–19.11 | 13.78 10.22–17.34 9.26–18.30 | 27.87 20.38–35.36 18.33–37.41 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.07 4.35–11.89 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 17.71 12.09–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.14 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 7.73 4.19–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.73 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 48.14 41.35–54.93 39.68–56.60 | 53.01 46.22–59.79 44.55–61.46 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–548 | 495 428–561 411–578 | 957 823–1090 787–1126 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.45 59.42–67.48 58.13–68.77 | 72.56 68.24–76.88 66.93–78.19 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.27 6.84–14.03 | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.39–14.77 | 21.51 15.73–27.30 14.23–28.80 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.67 1.51–3.83 1.21–4.13 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 4.61 2.36–6.87 1.77–7.46 | 54% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.88 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+