La Liga·Regular Season - 36·
La Liga·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.380.934.31safe2.41–4.350.08–1.792.49–6.13safer2.16–4.600.00–2.012.01–6.61
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.963.5112.48safe7.10–10.831.77–5.268.87–16.08safer6.61–11.321.31–5.727.92–17.04
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.179.4831.65safe18.25–26.105.92–13.0424.17–39.14safer17.16–27.194.96–14.0022.11–41.19
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.155.7620.91safe12.21–18.093.08–8.4415.29–26.54safer11.38–18.922.34–9.1813.72–28.10
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.551.987.53safe3.67–7.440.33–3.634.00–11.07safer3.13–7.980.00–4.122.96–12.10
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.473.0811.54safe6.25–10.681.08–5.087.33–15.76safer5.68–11.250.54–5.616.22–16.86
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3940.58safe52.60–66.1833.80–47.37safer50.93–67.8532.13–49.04
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6124171029safe544–679351–484895–1162safer526–697333–501859–1198
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction76.4271.11safe72.39–80.4566.79–75.44safer71.10–81.7465.48–76.75
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.8422.40safe7.72–13.408.89–14.7816.61–28.18safer6.97–14.158.14–15.5315.11–29.68
Offsides
66%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.031.654.68safe1.87–4.190.55–2.742.43–6.93safer1.57–4.490.27–3.031.84–7.52
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.893.15safe0.21–2.310.76–3.020.97–5.33safer0.00–2.580.47–3.310.42–5.89
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.205.427.62safe0.76–3.633.87–6.984.63–10.61safer0.37–4.023.44–7.403.81–11.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.38 2.41–4.35 2.16–4.60 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 4.31 2.49–6.13 2.01–6.61 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 8.96 7.10–10.83 6.61–11.32 | 3.51 1.77–5.26 1.31–5.72 | 12.48 8.87–16.08 7.92–17.04 | 92% |
| Total shots | 22.17 18.25–26.10 17.16–27.19 | 9.48 5.92–13.04 4.96–14.00 | 31.65 24.17–39.14 22.11–41.19 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.15 12.21–18.09 11.38–18.92 | 5.76 3.08–8.44 2.34–9.18 | 20.91 15.29–26.54 13.72–28.10 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.55 3.67–7.44 3.13–7.98 | 1.98 0.33–3.63 0.00–4.12 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.10 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.47 6.25–10.68 5.68–11.25 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.54–5.61 | 11.54 7.33–15.76 6.22–16.86 | 93% |
| Possession % | 59.39 52.60–66.18 50.93–67.85 | 40.58 33.80–47.37 32.13–49.04 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 612 544–679 526–697 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 1029 895–1162 859–1198 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.42 72.39–80.45 71.10–81.74 | 71.11 66.79–75.44 65.48–76.75 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.40 6.97–14.15 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 22.40 16.61–28.18 15.11–29.68 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 3.03 1.87–4.19 1.57–4.49 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 4.68 2.43–6.93 1.84–7.52 | 66% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 5.42 3.87–6.98 3.44–7.40 | 7.62 4.63–10.61 3.81–11.42 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.