Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.323.51safe1.22–3.160.46–2.171.69–5.33safer0.97–3.410.24–2.401.21–5.81
Shots on target
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.874.3911.26safe5.00–8.732.65–6.147.65–14.86safer4.51–9.222.19–6.606.70–15.82
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction19.0512.4331.48safe15.13–22.988.87–15.9924.00–38.97safer14.04–24.077.91–16.9521.95–41.02
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction13.018.5721.59safe10.07–15.965.89–11.2515.96–27.21safer9.24–16.795.15–11.9914.40–28.78
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.173.458.62safe3.29–7.061.79–5.105.09–12.16safer2.75–7.601.30–5.594.05–13.19
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.874.3111.18safe4.66–9.092.31–6.316.96–15.39safer4.08–9.661.77–6.845.86–16.50
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.1544.12safe48.36–61.9437.34–50.91safer46.69–63.6135.66–52.58
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction514401915safe446–581335–468781–1049safer428–599317–485746–1084
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction74.6575.16safe70.62–78.6870.83–79.48safer69.33–79.9769.52–80.79
Fouls
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8612.4922.35safe7.02–12.709.55–15.4416.57–28.14safer6.27–13.458.80–16.1915.07–29.64
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.423.054.48safe0.26–2.581.96–4.152.22–6.73safer0.00–2.881.67–4.441.63–7.32
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.193.58safe0.34–2.441.06–3.321.40–5.76safer0.08–2.710.77–3.610.85–6.32
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
25%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.914.217.13safe1.48–4.352.66–5.774.14–10.12safer1.09–4.742.23–6.203.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 3.51 1.69–5.33 1.21–5.81 | 57% 20% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.87 5.00–8.73 4.51–9.22 | 4.39 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 11.26 7.65–14.86 6.70–15.82 | 72% 19% |
| Total shots | 19.05 15.13–22.98 14.04–24.07 | 12.43 8.87–15.99 7.91–16.95 | 31.48 24.00–38.97 21.95–41.02 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.24–16.79 | 8.57 5.89–11.25 5.15–11.99 | 21.59 15.96–27.21 14.40–28.78 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.29–7.06 2.75–7.60 | 3.45 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 8.62 5.09–12.16 4.05–13.19 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.66–9.09 4.08–9.66 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 11.18 6.96–15.39 5.86–16.50 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.15 48.36–61.94 46.69–63.61 | 44.12 37.34–50.91 35.66–52.58 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 514 446–581 428–599 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 915 781–1049 746–1084 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.65 70.62–78.68 69.33–79.97 | 75.16 70.83–79.48 69.52–80.79 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 9.86 7.02–12.70 6.27–13.45 | 12.49 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 22.35 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 25% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 3.05 1.96–4.15 1.67–4.44 | 4.48 2.22–6.73 1.63–7.32 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 4.21 2.66–5.77 2.23–6.20 | 7.13 4.14–10.12 3.32–10.93 | 25% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+