Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.793.54safe0.78–2.720.94–2.641.72–5.36safer0.53–2.970.71–2.871.24–5.84
Shots on target
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.465.6311.09safe3.59–7.323.89–7.387.48–14.69safer3.10–7.813.42–7.846.53–15.65
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3915.1830.57safe11.47–19.3211.62–18.7423.08–38.06safer10.37–20.4110.66–19.7021.03–40.11
Shots in box
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3710.9521.32safe7.42–13.318.27–13.6315.69–26.94safer6.59–14.147.53–14.3714.13–28.51
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.278.09safe1.94–5.702.62–5.924.56–11.63safer1.40–6.252.12–6.413.52–12.66
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.465.5611.03safe3.25–7.683.56–7.566.81–15.24safer2.68–8.253.03–8.105.71–16.35
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction49.4852.68safe42.69–56.2745.89–59.46safer41.02–57.9444.22–61.13
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction442462904safe375–509396–529771–1038safer357–527378–546735–1074
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction72.4675.80safe68.43–76.4971.48–80.13safer67.13–77.7870.17–81.44
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9411.0122.95safe9.10–14.788.06–13.9517.17–28.73safer8.34–15.537.32–14.7015.66–30.23
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.394.28safe1.73–4.050.29–2.482.02–6.53safer1.43–4.350.00–2.771.43–7.12
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.953.82safe0.82–2.920.82–3.081.64–5.99safer0.55–3.180.53–3.371.08–6.55
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.337.26safe2.49–5.361.78–4.894.27–10.25safer2.11–5.751.35–5.313.46–11.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.79 0.94–2.64 0.71–2.87 | 3.54 1.72–5.36 1.24–5.84 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.59–7.32 3.10–7.81 | 5.63 3.89–7.38 3.42–7.84 | 11.09 7.48–14.69 6.53–15.65 | 42% 46% |
| Total shots | 15.39 11.47–19.32 10.37–20.41 | 15.18 11.62–18.74 10.66–19.70 | 30.57 23.08–38.06 21.03–40.11 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 10.37 7.42–13.31 6.59–14.14 | 10.95 8.27–13.63 7.53–14.37 | 21.32 15.69–26.94 14.13–28.51 | 41% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 4.27 2.62–5.92 2.12–6.41 | 8.09 4.56–11.63 3.52–12.66 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.03–8.10 | 11.03 6.81–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 49.48 42.69–56.27 41.02–57.94 | 52.68 45.89–59.46 44.22–61.13 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 357–527 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.46 68.43–76.49 67.13–77.78 | 75.80 71.48–80.13 70.17–81.44 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.78 8.34–15.53 | 11.01 8.06–13.95 7.32–14.70 | 22.95 17.17–28.73 15.66–30.23 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 4.28 2.02–6.53 1.43–7.12 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.93 2.49–5.36 2.11–5.75 | 3.33 1.78–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 7.26 4.27–10.25 3.46–11.07 | 51% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+