Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.310.943.24safe1.34–3.270.08–1.791.42–5.06safer1.09–3.520.00–2.020.94–5.54
Shots on target
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.459.80safe4.49–8.211.71–5.206.20–13.41safer4.00–8.701.25–5.665.24–14.36
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.339.5928.92safe15.40–23.256.03–13.1521.43–36.41safer14.31–24.355.07–14.1119.38–38.46
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.256.0119.26safe10.31–16.193.33–8.6913.64–24.88safer9.48–17.022.59–9.4212.07–26.45
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.612.548.15safe3.73–7.490.88–4.194.61–11.68safer3.19–8.040.39–4.683.58–12.72
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.763.8110.57safe4.55–8.971.81–5.816.36–14.79safer3.97–9.551.28–6.355.25–15.89
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.7140.32safe52.92–66.5033.53–47.10safer51.25–68.1731.86–48.78
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction513332845safe445–580266–399711–978safer427–598248–416675–1014
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction74.2065.95safe70.17–78.2261.62–70.27safer68.87–79.5260.32–71.58
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4211.8925.31safe10.59–16.268.94–14.8319.53–31.09safer9.83–17.028.19–15.5818.02–32.60
Offsides
40%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.553.17safe0.46–2.780.46–2.640.92–5.42safer0.16–3.080.17–2.930.33–6.01
Yellow cards
33%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.133.90safe0.72–2.821.00–3.261.72–6.08safer0.45–3.080.71–3.551.16–6.63
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.456.81safe0.92–3.792.89–6.013.81–9.80safer0.53–4.182.47–6.433.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.31 1.34–3.27 1.09–3.52 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.35 4.49–8.21 4.00–8.70 | 3.45 1.71–5.20 1.25–5.66 | 9.80 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.36 | 78% 14% |
| Total shots | 19.33 15.40–23.25 14.31–24.35 | 9.59 6.03–13.15 5.07–14.11 | 28.92 21.43–36.41 19.38–38.46 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 13.25 10.31–16.19 9.48–17.02 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.42 | 19.26 13.64–24.88 12.07–26.45 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.61 3.73–7.49 3.19–8.04 | 2.54 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.58–12.72 | 82% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.97 3.97–9.55 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.89 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 59.71 52.92–66.50 51.25–68.17 | 40.32 33.53–47.10 31.86–48.78 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 513 445–580 427–598 | 332 266–399 248–416 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.20 70.17–78.22 68.87–79.52 | 65.95 61.62–70.27 60.32–71.58 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.42 10.59–16.26 9.83–17.02 | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 25.31 19.53–31.09 18.02–32.60 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 40% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 33% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.45 2.89–6.01 2.47–6.43 | 6.81 3.81–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+