Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.983.09safe0.14–2.081.12–2.831.26–4.91safer0.00–2.330.89–3.060.78–5.39
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.895.839.72safe2.02–5.754.09–7.586.11–13.32safer1.53–6.243.63–8.045.16–14.28
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7316.8928.62safe7.81–15.6513.32–20.4521.13–36.10safer6.71–16.7512.37–21.4119.08–38.15
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5311.1818.70safe4.58–10.478.50–13.8613.08–24.33safer3.75–11.307.76–14.6011.51–25.89
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.114.797.90safe1.23–4.993.14–6.444.36–11.44safer0.69–5.542.64–6.933.33–12.47
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.9710.41safe2.23–6.663.97–7.976.20–14.62safer1.66–7.233.43–8.505.09–15.73
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.9055.98safe38.11–51.6949.19–62.76safer36.44–53.3647.52–64.43
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction372472844safe305–439406–538710–978safer287–457388–556675–1013
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction62.4173.52safe58.38–66.4469.19–77.84safer57.09–67.7367.88–79.15
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1114.7225.83safe8.28–13.9511.77–17.6620.05–31.61safer7.52–14.7111.02–18.4118.54–33.12
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.543.14safe0.43–2.750.45–2.640.88–5.39safer0.13–3.060.16–2.920.29–5.98
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.274.17safe0.85–2.941.14–3.401.99–6.35safer0.58–3.210.85–3.691.43–6.90
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
59%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.816.68safe2.44–5.311.25–4.363.69–9.68safer2.05–5.700.83–4.792.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.98 1.12–2.83 0.89–3.06 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 21% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 5.83 4.09–7.58 3.63–8.04 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.73 7.81–15.65 6.71–16.75 | 16.89 13.32–20.45 12.37–21.41 | 28.62 21.13–36.10 19.08–38.15 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.58–10.47 3.75–11.30 | 11.18 8.50–13.86 7.76–14.60 | 18.70 13.08–24.33 11.51–25.89 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.69–5.54 | 4.79 3.14–6.44 2.64–6.93 | 7.90 4.36–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 5.97 3.97–7.97 3.43–8.50 | 10.41 6.20–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 44.90 38.11–51.69 36.44–53.36 | 55.98 49.19–62.76 47.52–64.43 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–457 | 472 406–538 388–556 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.41 58.38–66.44 57.09–67.73 | 73.52 69.19–77.84 67.88–79.15 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.28–13.95 7.52–14.71 | 14.72 11.77–17.66 11.02–18.41 | 25.83 20.05–31.61 18.54–33.12 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.06 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.43–6.90 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.44–5.31 2.05–5.70 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.83–4.79 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 59% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.