Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.510.823.33safe1.54–3.480.00–1.671.51–5.15safer1.29–3.730.00–1.901.03–5.63
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.063.1410.20safe5.20–8.921.40–4.886.60–13.81safer4.71–9.410.93–5.355.64–14.76
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.859.4028.25safe14.92–22.775.84–12.9620.76–35.74safer13.83–23.874.88–13.9218.71–37.79
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.956.1319.08safe10.01–15.893.45–8.8113.46–24.71safer9.18–16.722.71–9.5511.89–26.27
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.212.757.96safe3.33–7.091.10–4.404.42–11.49safer2.78–7.630.60–4.893.39–12.53
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.4510.23safe4.57–9.001.45–5.456.02–14.44safer4.00–9.570.91–5.984.91–15.55
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.6740.67safe51.88–65.4633.88–47.45safer50.21–67.1332.21–49.13
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction558368926safe491–625302–435792–1060safer472–643284–452757–1095
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction75.6068.90safe71.57–79.6364.58–73.23safer70.28–80.9263.27–74.54
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6112.0221.63safe6.77–12.449.07–14.9615.84–27.41safer6.01–13.208.33–15.7114.34–28.91
Offsides
51%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.463.52safe0.89–3.210.37–2.561.27–5.77safer0.59–3.520.08–2.850.68–6.36
Yellow cards
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.973.08safe0.06–2.160.84–3.100.90–5.26safer0.00–2.430.55–3.390.34–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.030.110.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.77
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.254.626.87safe0.82–3.693.06–6.183.88–9.86safer0.43–4.082.64–6.603.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.51 1.54–3.48 1.29–3.73 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.33 1.51–5.15 1.03–5.63 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.06 5.20–8.92 4.71–9.41 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 86% |
| Total shots | 18.85 14.92–22.77 13.83–23.87 | 9.40 5.84–12.96 4.88–13.92 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.95 10.01–15.89 9.18–16.72 | 6.13 3.45–8.81 2.71–9.55 | 19.08 13.46–24.71 11.89–26.27 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.33–7.09 2.78–7.63 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 7.96 4.42–11.49 3.39–12.53 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.57–9.00 4.00–9.57 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 81% |
| Possession % | 58.67 51.88–65.46 50.21–67.13 | 40.67 33.88–47.45 32.21–49.13 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 472–643 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.60 71.57–79.63 70.28–80.92 | 68.90 64.58–73.23 63.27–74.54 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 9.61 6.77–12.44 6.01–13.20 | 12.02 9.07–14.96 8.33–15.71 | 21.63 15.84–27.41 14.34–28.91 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.52 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 51% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.06–2.16 0.00–2.43 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.81 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.03 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 4.62 3.06–6.18 2.64–6.60 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.07–10.68 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+