Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.103.27safe0.20–2.141.25–2.951.44–5.09safer0.00–2.391.02–3.180.97–5.57
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.065.779.83safe2.20–5.924.03–7.526.23–13.44safer1.71–6.413.57–7.985.27–14.39
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0715.1727.23safe8.14–15.9911.60–18.7319.75–34.72safer7.05–17.0810.65–19.6917.70–36.77
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1910.8819.07safe5.25–11.138.20–13.5613.45–24.70safer4.42–11.967.46–14.3011.88–26.26
Blocked shots
36%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.157.84safe1.80–5.572.50–5.804.30–11.37safer1.26–6.112.01–6.303.26–12.41
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.7010.00safe2.09–6.523.70–7.705.79–14.22safer1.52–7.093.16–8.234.68–15.32
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction45.0055.80safe38.21–51.7949.02–62.59safer36.54–53.4647.35–64.26
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction407508915safe340–474442–575781–1049safer321–492424–592746–1084
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction64.5974.11safe60.56–68.6269.79–78.44safer59.27–69.9168.48–79.75
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7810.6922.48safe8.95–14.627.75–13.6416.69–28.26safer8.19–15.387.00–14.3915.19–29.76
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.953.61safe0.50–2.820.86–3.041.36–5.87safer0.20–3.130.57–3.330.77–6.46
Yellow cards
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.733.48safe0.70–2.800.60–2.861.30–5.66safer0.44–3.070.31–3.150.75–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.756.67safe2.48–5.351.20–4.313.68–9.66safer2.09–5.740.77–4.742.87–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 2.10 1.25–2.95 1.02–3.18 | 3.27 1.44–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 21% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.92 1.71–6.41 | 5.77 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 12.07 8.14–15.99 7.05–17.08 | 15.17 11.60–18.73 10.65–19.69 | 27.23 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.13 4.42–11.96 | 10.88 8.20–13.56 7.46–14.30 | 19.07 13.45–24.70 11.88–26.26 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.01–6.30 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.41 | 36% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.09–6.52 1.52–7.09 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.16–8.23 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.00 38.21–51.79 36.54–53.46 | 55.80 49.02–62.59 47.35–64.26 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 321–492 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 915 781–1049 746–1084 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.59 60.56–68.62 59.27–69.91 | 74.11 69.79–78.44 68.48–79.75 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 10.69 7.75–13.64 7.00–14.39 | 22.48 16.69–28.26 15.19–29.76 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.92 2.48–5.35 2.09–5.74 | 2.75 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.87–10.47 | 60% 14% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+