Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.873.103.97safe0.00–1.842.25–3.962.15–5.79safer0.00–2.092.02–4.181.67–6.27
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction3.068.3411.40safe1.20–4.926.60–10.087.79–15.00safer0.71–5.416.13–10.556.84–15.96
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0921.2830.37safe5.16–13.0117.72–24.8422.88–37.86safer4.07–14.1016.76–25.8020.83–39.91
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8014.3320.13safe2.86–8.7411.65–17.0114.51–25.75safer2.03–9.5710.91–17.7512.94–27.32
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.415.587.98safe0.52–4.293.92–7.234.45–11.52safer0.00–4.833.43–7.723.41–12.55
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction2.997.5710.57safe0.78–5.215.57–9.576.35–14.78safer0.21–5.785.04–10.115.25–15.89
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction29.7271.18safe22.93–36.5164.40–77.97safer21.26–38.1862.73–79.64
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3007101010safe233–367644–777877–1144safer215–385626–794841–1180
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction62.1684.96safe58.13–66.1980.63–89.28safer56.84–67.4879.32–90.59
Fouls
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.768.1018.87safe7.93–13.605.16–11.0513.09–24.65safer7.17–14.364.41–11.8011.58–26.16
Offsides
35%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.374.48safe0.94–3.261.28–3.472.22–6.73safer0.64–3.560.99–3.751.63–7.32
Yellow cards
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.182.89safe0.66–2.760.05–2.310.72–5.07safer0.40–3.030.00–2.600.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.240.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.382.137.51safe3.94–6.810.57–3.684.51–10.50safer3.55–7.200.15–4.113.70–11.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 3.10 2.25–3.96 2.02–4.18 | 3.97 2.15–5.79 1.67–6.27 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 3.06 1.20–4.92 0.71–5.41 | 8.34 6.60–10.08 6.13–10.55 | 11.40 7.79–15.00 6.84–15.96 | 93% |
| Total shots | 9.09 5.16–13.01 4.07–14.10 | 21.28 17.72–24.84 16.76–25.80 | 30.37 22.88–37.86 20.83–39.91 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.80 2.86–8.74 2.03–9.57 | 14.33 11.65–17.01 10.91–17.75 | 20.13 14.51–25.75 12.94–27.32 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.41 0.52–4.29 0.00–4.83 | 5.58 3.92–7.23 3.43–7.72 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.55 | 83% |
| Corners | 2.99 0.78–5.21 0.21–5.78 | 7.57 5.57–9.57 5.04–10.11 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 90% |
| Possession % | 29.72 22.93–36.51 21.26–38.18 | 71.18 64.40–77.97 62.73–79.64 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 300 233–367 215–385 | 710 644–777 626–794 | 1010 877–1144 841–1180 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.16 58.13–66.19 56.84–67.48 | 84.96 80.63–89.28 79.32–90.59 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 8.10 5.16–11.05 4.41–11.80 | 18.87 13.09–24.65 11.58–26.16 | 69% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 2.37 1.28–3.47 0.99–3.75 | 4.48 2.22–6.73 1.63–7.32 | 35% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.18 0.05–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.89 0.72–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 5.38 3.94–6.81 3.55–7.20 | 2.13 0.57–3.68 0.15–4.11 | 7.51 4.51–10.50 3.70–11.31 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.