Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.880.754.64safe2.91–4.850.00–1.612.81–6.46safer2.66–5.100.00–1.842.33–6.94
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.572.9012.47safe7.71–11.441.15–4.648.86–16.07safer7.22–11.920.69–5.117.91–17.03
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.287.9632.24safe20.36–28.214.40–11.5224.75–39.73safer19.27–29.303.44–12.4822.70–41.78
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.655.0621.71safe13.70–19.592.38–7.7416.09–27.33safer12.87–20.421.64–8.4814.52–28.90
Blocked shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6.621.678.30safe4.74–8.510.02–3.334.76–11.83safer4.20–9.050.00–3.823.73–12.87
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.682.6112.29safe7.47–11.890.61–4.618.07–16.50safer6.89–12.470.07–5.146.97–17.61
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.1928.17safe64.40–77.9821.38–34.95safer62.73–79.6519.71–36.62
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7343011036safe667–802235–368902–1169safer649–820217–385866–1205
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction83.1167.55safe79.08–87.1463.23–71.88safer77.79–88.4361.92–73.19
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3710.1818.55safe5.53–11.217.24–13.1312.77–24.34safer4.78–11.976.49–13.8711.27–25.84
Offsides
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.723.96safe1.08–3.400.63–2.821.71–6.22safer0.78–3.700.34–3.111.12–6.81
Yellow cards
18%
25%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.791.592.37safe0.00–1.830.46–2.720.20–4.55safer0.00–2.100.17–3.010.00–5.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
90%
homeawaytotalprediction1.976.007.96safe0.53–3.404.44–7.554.97–10.96safer0.14–3.794.02–7.984.16–11.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.88 2.91–4.85 2.66–5.10 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 4.64 2.81–6.46 2.33–6.94 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 9.57 7.71–11.44 7.22–11.92 | 2.90 1.15–4.64 0.69–5.11 | 12.47 8.86–16.07 7.91–17.03 | 97% |
| Total shots | 24.28 20.36–28.21 19.27–29.30 | 7.96 4.40–11.52 3.44–12.48 | 32.24 24.75–39.73 22.70–41.78 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.65 13.70–19.59 12.87–20.42 | 5.06 2.38–7.74 1.64–8.48 | 21.71 16.09–27.33 14.52–28.90 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.62 4.74–8.51 4.20–9.05 | 1.67 0.02–3.33 0.00–3.82 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.73–12.87 | 95% |
| Corners | 9.68 7.47–11.89 6.89–12.47 | 2.61 0.61–4.61 0.07–5.14 | 12.29 8.07–16.50 6.97–17.61 | 97% |
| Possession % | 71.19 64.40–77.98 62.73–79.65 | 28.17 21.38–34.95 19.71–36.62 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 734 667–802 649–820 | 301 235–368 217–385 | 1036 902–1169 866–1205 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.11 79.08–87.14 77.79–88.43 | 67.55 63.23–71.88 61.92–73.19 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 8.37 5.53–11.21 4.78–11.97 | 10.18 7.24–13.13 6.49–13.87 | 18.55 12.77–24.34 11.27–25.84 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.96 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 0.79 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.10 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 2.37 0.20–4.55 0.00–5.11 | 18% 25% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 6.00 4.44–7.55 4.02–7.98 | 7.96 4.97–10.96 4.16–11.77 | 90% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.