Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.763.12safe0.39–2.320.91–2.621.29–4.94safer0.13–2.570.68–2.850.81–5.42
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.5710.43safe3.00–6.733.82–7.316.83–14.04safer2.51–7.223.36–7.785.87–14.99
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0315.8530.87safe11.10–18.9512.29–19.4123.39–38.36safer10.01–20.0411.33–20.3721.34–40.41
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.599.8619.44safe6.65–12.537.18–12.5413.82–25.07safer5.82–13.366.44–13.2712.25–26.63
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.108.33safe2.34–6.112.45–5.754.79–11.86safer1.80–6.651.96–6.253.76–12.90
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.8410.91safe2.86–7.293.84–7.846.70–15.13safer2.29–7.863.31–8.375.59–16.23
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.0755.57safe37.28–50.8648.78–62.35safer35.61–52.5347.11–64.02
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction386478864safe319–453412–545730–998safer300–471394–562695–1033
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.6674.16safe61.63–69.6969.83–78.48safer60.34–70.9868.53–79.79
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8410.4022.24safe9.00–14.687.46–13.3516.46–28.02safer8.25–15.446.71–14.0914.96–29.53
Offsides
55%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.634.02safe1.23–3.550.54–2.731.77–6.28safer0.93–3.850.25–3.011.18–6.87
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.703.60safe0.85–2.950.57–2.831.42–5.78safer0.59–3.220.28–3.120.87–6.34
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
47%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.266.80safe2.11–4.981.70–4.813.81–9.79safer1.72–5.371.28–5.243.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.76 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 3.12 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.22 | 5.57 3.82–7.31 3.36–7.78 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.10–18.95 10.01–20.04 | 15.85 12.29–19.41 11.33–20.37 | 30.87 23.39–38.36 21.34–40.41 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.59 6.65–12.53 5.82–13.36 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.27 | 19.44 13.82–25.07 12.25–26.63 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 4.10 2.45–5.75 1.96–6.25 | 8.33 4.79–11.86 3.76–12.90 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.31–8.37 | 10.91 6.70–15.13 5.59–16.23 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 44.07 37.28–50.86 35.61–52.53 | 55.57 48.78–62.35 47.11–64.02 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 300–471 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.66 61.63–69.69 60.34–70.98 | 74.16 69.83–78.48 68.53–79.79 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 10.40 7.46–13.35 6.71–14.09 | 22.24 16.46–28.02 14.96–29.53 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.39 1.23–3.55 0.93–3.85 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 4.02 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 55% 19% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 3.26 1.70–4.81 1.28–5.24 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 3.00–10.61 | 47% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+