Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.223.08safe0.89–2.830.37–2.081.26–4.91safer0.64–3.080.14–2.310.78–5.39
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.219.86safe3.79–7.522.46–5.956.26–13.47safer3.30–8.012.00–6.415.30–14.42
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2613.0930.35safe13.34–21.199.53–16.6522.87–37.84safer12.25–22.288.57–17.6120.82–39.89
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction11.428.7920.20safe8.47–14.366.11–11.4714.58–25.83safer7.64–15.195.37–12.2113.01–27.39
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.238.09safe2.97–6.741.58–4.894.55–11.62safer2.43–7.281.09–5.383.52–12.66
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.304.4810.77safe4.09–8.512.48–6.486.56–14.99safer3.51–9.091.94–7.015.45–16.10
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.6841.88safe51.88–65.4735.10–48.67safer50.22–67.1433.43–50.34
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction539384923safe472–606317–450789–1056safer454–624300–468753–1092
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction72.3868.27safe68.35–76.4163.94–72.59safer67.06–77.7062.64–73.90
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8012.1621.96safe6.97–12.649.21–15.1016.18–27.74safer6.21–13.408.46–15.8514.67–29.25
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.284.07safe0.63–2.951.18–3.371.81–6.32safer0.33–3.250.90–3.661.22–6.91
Yellow cards
18%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.303.45safe0.10–2.201.17–3.431.27–5.63safer0.00–2.460.88–3.720.71–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.786.56safe1.35–4.222.22–5.343.57–9.56safer0.96–4.611.80–5.762.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.83 0.64–3.08 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.79–7.52 3.30–8.01 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 9.86 6.26–13.47 5.30–14.42 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 17.26 13.34–21.19 12.25–22.28 | 13.09 9.53–16.65 8.57–17.61 | 30.35 22.87–37.84 20.82–39.89 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 11.42 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.19 | 8.79 6.11–11.47 5.37–12.21 | 20.20 14.58–25.83 13.01–27.39 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.97–6.74 2.43–7.28 | 3.23 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 8.09 4.55–11.62 3.52–12.66 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.51 3.51–9.09 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.94–7.01 | 10.77 6.56–14.99 5.45–16.10 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 58.68 51.88–65.47 50.22–67.14 | 41.88 35.10–48.67 33.43–50.34 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 539 472–606 454–624 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.38 68.35–76.41 67.06–77.70 | 68.27 63.94–72.59 62.64–73.90 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.80 6.97–12.64 6.21–13.40 | 12.16 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 21.96 16.18–27.74 14.67–29.25 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.28 1.18–3.37 0.90–3.66 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.46 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.19 | 18% 19% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.78 2.22–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 6.56 3.57–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.