Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.513.39safe0.91–2.850.66–2.371.57–5.21safer0.66–3.100.43–2.601.09–5.69
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.944.4810.42safe4.07–7.802.74–6.226.81–14.02safer3.58–8.292.27–6.695.86–14.98
Total shots
74%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5412.6129.15safe12.61–20.469.05–16.1821.67–36.64safer11.52–21.558.09–17.1419.61–38.69
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.388.8419.22safe7.43–13.326.16–11.5213.60–24.84safer6.61–14.155.43–12.2612.03–26.41
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.498.12safe2.75–6.511.84–5.144.59–11.66safer2.21–7.061.35–5.643.55–12.69
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.5610.46safe3.68–8.112.56–6.566.25–14.67safer3.11–8.692.03–7.095.14–15.78
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.7546.71safe47.96–61.5439.93–53.50safer46.29–63.2138.26–55.17
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction485409894safe418–553342–475761–1028safer400–571325–493725–1064
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.9169.97safe64.88–72.9465.65–74.29safer63.59–74.2364.34–75.60
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3412.1522.49safe7.51–13.189.20–15.0916.71–28.27safer6.75–13.948.45–15.8415.21–29.78
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.553.01safe0.30–2.620.46–2.650.76–5.27safer0.00–2.920.17–2.930.17–5.85
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.953.62safe0.62–2.710.83–3.081.44–5.80safer0.35–2.980.53–3.370.88–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.966.68safe1.29–4.162.40–5.513.69–9.67safer0.90–4.551.97–5.942.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.94 4.07–7.80 3.58–8.29 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.54 12.61–20.46 11.52–21.55 | 12.61 9.05–16.18 8.09–17.14 | 29.15 21.67–36.64 19.61–38.69 | 74% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.43–13.32 6.61–14.15 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.43–12.26 | 19.22 13.60–24.84 12.03–26.41 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.51 2.21–7.06 | 3.49 1.84–5.14 1.35–5.64 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.69 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.09 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.75 47.96–61.54 46.29–63.21 | 46.71 39.93–53.50 38.26–55.17 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.91 64.88–72.94 63.59–74.23 | 69.97 65.65–74.29 64.34–75.60 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.34 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 12.15 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 22.49 16.71–28.27 15.21–29.78 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.85 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.95 0.83–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.36 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.96 2.40–5.51 1.97–5.94 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.88–10.49 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.