Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.763.35safe0.62–2.560.91–2.621.53–5.17safer0.37–2.810.68–2.851.05–5.65
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.875.7810.65safe3.01–6.734.04–7.527.05–14.26safer2.52–7.223.57–7.996.09–15.21
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3615.1130.48safe11.44–19.2911.55–18.6822.99–37.96safer10.35–20.3810.59–19.6320.94–40.01
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.919.5219.43safe6.97–12.856.84–12.2013.81–25.05safer6.14–13.686.10–12.9412.24–26.62
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.928.14safe2.33–6.102.27–5.584.60–11.67safer1.79–6.641.78–6.073.57–12.71
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.9210.43safe3.30–7.722.92–6.926.21–14.64safer2.72–8.302.38–7.455.11–15.75
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction48.8950.37safe42.10–55.6843.58–57.15safer40.43–57.3541.91–58.83
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction449464912safe382–516397–530779–1046safer363–534380–548743–1082
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction68.1272.21safe64.09–72.1567.89–76.54safer62.80–73.4466.58–77.85
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1110.8223.92safe10.27–15.947.87–13.7618.14–29.71safer9.51–16.707.12–14.5116.64–31.21
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.453.14safe0.53–2.850.36–2.540.88–5.39safer0.22–3.150.07–2.830.29–5.98
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.833.68safe0.80–2.890.70–2.961.50–5.86safer0.53–3.160.41–3.250.94–6.41
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.276.92safe2.21–5.091.72–4.833.93–9.91safer1.83–5.471.29–5.253.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.76 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 3.35 1.53–5.17 1.05–5.65 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.73 2.52–7.22 | 5.78 4.04–7.52 3.57–7.99 | 10.65 7.05–14.26 6.09–15.21 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 15.36 11.44–19.29 10.35–20.38 | 15.11 11.55–18.68 10.59–19.63 | 30.48 22.99–37.96 20.94–40.01 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.97–12.85 6.14–13.68 | 9.52 6.84–12.20 6.10–12.94 | 19.43 13.81–25.05 12.24–26.62 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 8.14 4.60–11.67 3.57–12.71 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.89 42.10–55.68 40.43–57.35 | 50.37 43.58–57.15 41.91–58.83 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 363–534 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.12 64.09–72.15 62.80–73.44 | 72.21 67.89–76.54 66.58–77.85 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 13.11 10.27–15.94 9.51–16.70 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 23.92 18.14–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.65 2.21–5.09 1.83–5.47 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 6.92 3.93–9.91 3.12–10.73 | 48% 15% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.