Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.980.834.81safe3.01–4.950.00–1.692.99–6.64safer2.76–5.200.00–1.922.51–7.12
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.663.0311.69safe6.80–10.531.28–4.778.08–15.29safer6.31–11.020.82–5.237.13–16.25
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.218.8131.02safe18.28–26.135.25–12.3723.53–38.50safer17.19–27.224.29–13.3321.48–40.55
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.545.5220.06safe11.60–17.482.84–8.2014.44–25.68safer10.77–18.312.10–8.9412.87–27.25
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.292.267.55safe3.41–7.180.61–3.914.02–11.09safer2.87–7.720.12–4.412.98–12.12
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.982.8310.81safe5.76–10.190.83–4.836.60–15.02safer5.19–10.760.30–5.375.49–16.13
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.4233.72safe59.63–73.2126.93–40.50safer57.96–74.8825.26–42.17
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6863511037safe619–753284–417903–1170safer601–772267–435867–1206
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction82.9673.20safe78.93–86.9968.87–77.52safer77.63–88.2867.57–78.83
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.239.9519.18safe6.39–12.077.01–12.8913.40–24.96safer5.64–12.826.26–13.6411.89–26.47
Offsides
66%
16%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.061.634.69safe1.90–4.220.54–2.722.44–6.94safer1.60–4.520.25–3.011.85–7.53
Yellow cards
21%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.053.23safe0.13–2.230.92–3.181.05–5.41safer0.00–2.490.63–3.470.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.294.957.23safe0.85–3.723.39–6.504.24–10.22safer0.46–4.112.97–6.933.43–11.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.98 3.01–4.95 2.76–5.20 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 4.81 2.99–6.64 2.51–7.12 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 8.66 6.80–10.53 6.31–11.02 | 3.03 1.28–4.77 0.82–5.23 | 11.69 8.08–15.29 7.13–16.25 | 94% |
| Total shots | 22.21 18.28–26.13 17.19–27.22 | 8.81 5.25–12.37 4.29–13.33 | 31.02 23.53–38.50 21.48–40.55 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.54 11.60–17.48 10.77–18.31 | 5.52 2.84–8.20 2.10–8.94 | 20.06 14.44–25.68 12.87–27.25 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.29 3.41–7.18 2.87–7.72 | 2.26 0.61–3.91 0.12–4.41 | 7.55 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.98 5.76–10.19 5.19–10.76 | 2.83 0.83–4.83 0.30–5.37 | 10.81 6.60–15.02 5.49–16.13 | 93% |
| Possession % | 66.42 59.63–73.21 57.96–74.88 | 33.72 26.93–40.50 25.26–42.17 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 686 619–753 601–772 | 351 284–417 267–435 | 1037 903–1170 867–1206 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.96 78.93–86.99 77.63–88.28 | 73.20 68.87–77.52 67.57–78.83 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.23 6.39–12.07 5.64–12.82 | 9.95 7.01–12.89 6.26–13.64 | 19.18 13.40–24.96 11.89–26.47 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.06 1.90–4.22 1.60–4.52 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 4.69 2.44–6.94 1.85–7.53 | 66% 16% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.49 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 21% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 4.95 3.39–6.50 2.97–6.93 | 7.23 4.24–10.22 3.43–11.04 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.