Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.924.03safe0.14–2.082.06–3.772.20–5.85safer0.00–2.331.83–4.001.73–6.33
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.777.9211.69safe1.90–5.636.18–9.668.08–15.29safer1.41–6.125.71–10.137.13–16.25
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6619.4330.08safe6.73–14.5815.87–22.9922.60–37.57safer5.64–15.6714.91–23.9520.55–39.62
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8314.3521.18safe3.88–9.7711.67–17.0315.56–26.80safer3.05–10.6010.93–17.7713.99–28.37
Blocked shots
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.838.12safe1.40–5.173.18–6.494.58–11.65safer0.86–5.712.69–6.983.55–12.69
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.757.4011.15safe1.54–5.965.40–9.406.94–15.36safer0.96–6.544.87–9.935.83–16.47
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.9865.69safe28.19–41.7758.90–72.47safer26.52–43.4457.23–74.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3566741030safe289–423608–741896–1164safer270–441590–758861–1199
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction69.0383.95safe65.00–73.0679.63–88.28safer63.71–74.3678.32–89.58
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.719.2818.99safe6.87–12.546.33–12.2213.20–24.77safer6.11–13.305.59–12.9711.70–26.27
Offsides
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.843.785.61safe0.68–3.002.68–4.873.36–7.87safer0.38–3.302.39–5.162.77–8.46
Yellow cards
48%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.433.30safe0.83–2.920.30–2.551.12–5.48safer0.56–3.190.00–2.850.56–6.04
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.407.08safe3.24–6.110.84–3.954.08–10.07safer2.85–6.500.42–4.383.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 2.92 2.06–3.77 1.83–4.00 | 4.03 2.20–5.85 1.73–6.33 | 14% 74% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.90–5.63 1.41–6.12 | 7.92 6.18–9.66 5.71–10.13 | 11.69 8.08–15.29 7.13–16.25 | 86% |
| Total shots | 10.66 6.73–14.58 5.64–15.67 | 19.43 15.87–22.99 14.91–23.95 | 30.08 22.60–37.57 20.55–39.62 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.88–9.77 3.05–10.60 | 14.35 11.67–17.03 10.93–17.77 | 21.18 15.56–26.80 13.99–28.37 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 4.83 3.18–6.49 2.69–6.98 | 8.12 4.58–11.65 3.55–12.69 | 23% 64% |
| Corners | 3.75 1.54–5.96 0.96–6.54 | 7.40 5.40–9.40 4.87–9.93 | 11.15 6.94–15.36 5.83–16.47 | 83% |
| Possession % | 34.98 28.19–41.77 26.52–43.44 | 65.69 58.90–72.47 57.23–74.14 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 270–441 | 674 608–741 590–758 | 1030 896–1164 861–1199 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.03 65.00–73.06 63.71–74.36 | 83.95 79.63–88.28 78.32–89.58 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.71 6.87–12.54 6.11–13.30 | 9.28 6.33–12.22 5.59–12.97 | 18.99 13.20–24.77 11.70–26.27 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 3.78 2.68–4.87 2.39–5.16 | 5.61 3.36–7.87 2.77–8.46 | 15% 73% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.43 0.30–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.04 | 48% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.68 3.24–6.11 2.85–6.50 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.42–4.38 | 7.08 4.08–10.07 3.27–10.88 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.