Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.212.74safe0.56–2.500.36–2.070.92–4.56safer0.31–2.750.13–2.290.44–5.04
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.959.36safe3.54–7.272.21–5.695.75–12.96safer3.05–7.761.74–6.164.79–13.92
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4210.3226.73safe12.49–20.346.75–13.8819.25–34.22safer11.40–21.435.79–14.8417.19–36.27
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.016.7816.79safe7.07–12.954.10–9.4611.17–22.42safer6.24–13.783.36–10.209.60–23.98
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.877.30safe2.55–6.311.22–4.523.76–10.84safer2.00–6.850.73–5.022.73–11.87
Corners
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.589.38safe3.58–8.011.58–5.585.16–13.59safer3.01–8.581.05–6.114.06–14.70
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.4342.97safe50.64–64.2236.19–49.76safer48.97–65.8934.52–51.43
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction541397937safe474–608330–463804–1071safer455–626313–481768–1107
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction78.5173.04safe74.48–82.5468.72–77.37safer73.19–83.8367.41–78.68
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1411.3923.53safe9.30–14.988.45–14.3417.75–29.32safer8.55–15.747.70–15.0816.25–30.82
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.433.24safe0.65–2.970.34–2.530.99–5.50safer0.35–3.270.05–2.820.40–6.09
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.234.08safe0.80–2.901.10–3.361.90–6.26safer0.54–3.170.81–3.651.35–6.82
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.455.99safe1.10–3.981.89–5.002.99–8.98safer0.72–4.361.46–5.432.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.27 3.05–7.76 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.92 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.42 12.49–20.34 11.40–21.43 | 10.32 6.75–13.88 5.79–14.84 | 26.73 19.25–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.95 6.24–13.78 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.87 1.22–4.52 0.73–5.02 | 7.30 3.76–10.84 2.73–11.87 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.01 3.01–8.58 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.11 | 9.38 5.16–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 71% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.43 50.64–64.22 48.97–65.89 | 42.97 36.19–49.76 34.52–51.43 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 541 474–608 455–626 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.51 74.48–82.54 73.19–83.83 | 73.04 68.72–77.37 67.41–78.68 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.98 8.55–15.74 | 11.39 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.08 | 23.53 17.75–29.32 16.25–30.82 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.24 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.98 0.72–4.36 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.