Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.562.94safe0.41–2.350.70–2.411.12–4.76safer0.16–2.600.47–2.640.64–5.24
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.289.76safe2.62–6.343.54–7.026.16–13.37safer2.13–6.833.07–7.495.20–14.32
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2813.3126.58safe9.35–17.209.75–16.8719.10–34.07safer8.26–18.298.79–17.8317.05–36.12
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.858.8917.75safe5.91–11.806.21–11.5712.12–23.37safer5.08–12.635.47–12.3110.56–24.94
Blocked shots
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.817.78safe2.08–5.852.16–5.474.24–11.32safer1.54–6.391.67–5.963.21–12.35
Corners
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.809.37safe2.36–6.792.80–6.805.16–13.58safer1.78–7.362.27–7.334.05–14.69
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.5654.11safe38.77–52.3547.33–60.90safer37.10–54.0245.66–62.57
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction420507927safe353–487440–573793–1060safer335–505423–591757–1096
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction71.9878.73safe67.95–76.0174.41–83.05safer66.66–77.3073.10–84.36
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2713.0524.32safe8.43–14.1110.10–15.9918.54–30.10safer7.68–14.879.36–16.7417.03–31.61
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.653.34safe0.53–2.850.56–2.751.09–5.60safer0.23–3.150.27–3.040.50–6.19
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.273.81safe0.49–2.591.14–3.401.64–5.99safer0.23–2.860.85–3.691.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.922.915.83safe1.48–4.361.35–4.472.84–8.82safer1.10–4.740.93–4.892.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 5.28 3.54–7.02 3.07–7.49 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.35–17.20 8.26–18.29 | 13.31 9.75–16.87 8.79–17.83 | 26.58 19.10–34.07 17.05–36.12 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.85 5.91–11.80 5.08–12.63 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 17.75 12.12–23.37 10.56–24.94 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.78 4.24–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.78–7.36 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.27–7.33 | 9.37 5.16–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.56 38.77–52.35 37.10–54.02 | 54.11 47.33–60.90 45.66–62.57 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–505 | 507 440–573 423–591 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.98 67.95–76.01 66.66–77.30 | 78.73 74.41–83.05 73.10–84.36 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 13.05 10.10–15.99 9.36–16.74 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.81 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.48–4.36 1.10–4.74 | 2.91 1.35–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.