Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.473.36safe0.92–2.860.61–2.321.54–5.18safer0.67–3.110.38–2.551.06–5.66
Shots on target
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.655.0010.65safe3.79–7.513.26–6.747.05–14.26safer3.30–8.002.79–7.216.09–15.21
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7913.7130.50safe12.87–20.7210.15–17.2723.01–37.99safer11.78–21.819.19–18.2320.96–40.04
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction11.398.9820.36safe8.44–14.336.30–11.6614.74–25.99safer7.62–15.165.56–12.4013.17–27.55
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.387.75safe2.49–6.261.72–5.034.22–11.29safer1.95–6.801.23–5.523.18–12.32
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.6310.59safe3.74–8.172.63–6.636.38–14.80safer3.17–8.752.10–7.175.27–15.91
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.2945.92safe48.50–62.0839.13–52.70safer46.83–63.7537.46–54.38
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction486399885safe419–554332–465751–1019safer401–572315–483716–1055
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction74.6671.57safe70.63–78.6967.25–75.89safer69.34–79.9865.94–77.20
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5511.7323.27safe8.71–14.388.78–14.6717.49–29.05safer7.95–15.148.03–15.4215.99–30.56
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.373.06safe0.53–2.850.28–2.460.81–5.32safer0.23–3.150.00–2.750.22–5.91
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.203.84safe0.59–2.691.08–3.331.67–6.02safer0.32–2.950.78–3.621.11–6.58
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.767.20safe2.00–4.872.21–5.324.20–10.19safer1.61–5.261.78–5.753.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 3.36 1.54–5.18 1.06–5.66 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.51 3.30–8.00 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 10.65 7.05–14.26 6.09–15.21 | 52% 36% |
| Total shots | 16.79 12.87–20.72 11.78–21.81 | 13.71 10.15–17.27 9.19–18.23 | 30.50 23.01–37.99 20.96–40.04 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 11.39 8.44–14.33 7.62–15.16 | 8.98 6.30–11.66 5.56–12.40 | 20.36 14.74–25.99 13.17–27.55 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.49–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 3.38 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.75 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.17 | 10.59 6.38–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 55.29 48.50–62.08 46.83–63.75 | 45.92 39.13–52.70 37.46–54.38 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 486 419–554 401–572 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 885 751–1019 716–1055 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.66 70.63–78.69 69.34–79.98 | 71.57 67.25–75.89 65.94–77.20 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 23.27 17.49–29.05 15.99–30.56 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.06 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.20 1.08–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.84 1.67–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.43 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.75 | 7.20 4.20–10.19 3.39–11.00 | 38% 15% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.