Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.442.99safe0.59–2.530.58–2.291.17–4.82safer0.34–2.780.35–2.520.69–5.30
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.539.86safe3.47–7.202.78–6.276.26–13.47safer2.98–7.692.32–6.745.30–14.42
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0112.9528.96safe12.09–19.939.39–16.5121.47–36.45safer10.99–21.038.43–17.4719.42–38.50
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.809.3819.18safe6.85–12.746.70–12.0613.56–24.80safer6.02–13.575.97–12.8011.99–26.37
Blocked shots
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.549.25safe2.83–6.592.88–6.195.71–12.78safer2.29–7.142.39–6.684.68–13.82
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.9510.26safe3.10–7.522.95–6.956.04–14.47safer2.52–8.102.41–7.484.94–15.58
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.3951.92safe42.60–56.1845.14–58.71safer40.93–57.8543.47–60.38
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction439447887safe372–507381–514753–1020safer354–525363–531717–1056
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction67.8475.94safe63.81–71.8771.61–80.26safer62.52–73.1670.30–81.57
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.3523.00safe7.81–13.489.41–15.3017.22–28.78safer7.05–14.248.66–16.0515.71–30.29
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.473.04safe0.41–2.730.38–2.560.78–5.29safer0.10–3.030.09–2.850.19–5.88
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.833.44safe0.56–2.660.70–2.961.27–5.62safer0.30–2.930.41–3.250.71–6.18
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.386.37safe1.55–4.431.82–4.943.38–9.36safer1.17–4.811.40–5.362.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.99 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.33 3.47–7.20 2.98–7.69 | 4.53 2.78–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 9.86 6.26–13.47 5.30–14.42 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 16.01 12.09–19.93 10.99–21.03 | 12.95 9.39–16.51 8.43–17.47 | 28.96 21.47–36.45 19.42–38.50 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.85–12.74 6.02–13.57 | 9.38 6.70–12.06 5.97–12.80 | 19.18 13.56–24.80 11.99–26.37 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.59 2.29–7.14 | 4.54 2.88–6.19 2.39–6.68 | 9.25 5.71–12.78 4.68–13.82 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.52 2.52–8.10 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.41–7.48 | 10.26 6.04–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.39 42.60–56.18 40.93–57.85 | 51.92 45.14–58.71 43.47–60.38 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 439 372–507 354–525 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.84 63.81–71.87 62.52–73.16 | 75.94 71.61–80.26 70.30–81.57 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.29 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.04 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.44 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.43 1.17–4.81 | 3.38 1.82–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+