Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.922.773.69safe0.00–1.891.92–3.631.87–5.52safer0.00–2.141.69–3.851.39–6.00
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.167.5710.73safe1.30–5.025.83–9.327.13–14.34safer0.81–5.515.36–9.786.17–15.29
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7419.2228.96safe5.81–13.6615.66–22.7821.47–36.45safer4.72–14.7514.70–23.7419.42–38.50
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1214.4920.60safe3.18–9.0611.81–17.1714.98–26.23safer2.35–9.8911.07–17.9013.41–27.79
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.695.097.78safe0.81–4.573.43–6.744.24–11.31safer0.26–5.122.94–7.233.21–12.35
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.687.0210.70safe1.47–5.895.02–9.026.48–14.91safer0.89–6.474.48–9.555.38–16.02
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.9464.50safe29.15–42.7357.71–71.28safer27.48–44.4056.04–72.95
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction327574900safe260–394507–640767–1034safer241–412490–658731–1070
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.5177.20safe57.48–65.5472.87–81.52safer56.19–66.8371.56–82.83
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7710.3121.08safe7.93–13.617.37–13.2615.30–26.86safer7.17–14.366.62–14.0113.79–28.37
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.094.20safe0.95–3.271.00–3.181.94–6.45safer0.65–3.570.71–3.471.35–7.04
Yellow cards
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.403.37safe0.92–3.010.27–2.531.19–5.54safer0.65–3.280.00–2.820.63–6.10
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.376.67safe2.87–5.740.82–3.933.68–9.67safer2.48–6.130.39–4.352.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 2.77 1.92–3.63 1.69–3.85 | 3.69 1.87–5.52 1.39–6.00 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.30–5.02 0.81–5.51 | 7.57 5.83–9.32 5.36–9.78 | 10.73 7.13–14.34 6.17–15.29 | 89% |
| Total shots | 9.74 5.81–13.66 4.72–14.75 | 19.22 15.66–22.78 14.70–23.74 | 28.96 21.47–36.45 19.42–38.50 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.12 3.18–9.06 2.35–9.89 | 14.49 11.81–17.17 11.07–17.90 | 20.60 14.98–26.23 13.41–27.79 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 2.69 0.81–4.57 0.26–5.12 | 5.09 3.43–6.74 2.94–7.23 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.21–12.35 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.68 1.47–5.89 0.89–6.47 | 7.02 5.02–9.02 4.48–9.55 | 10.70 6.48–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 81% |
| Possession % | 35.94 29.15–42.73 27.48–44.40 | 64.50 57.71–71.28 56.04–72.95 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 327 260–394 241–412 | 574 507–640 490–658 | 900 767–1034 731–1070 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.51 57.48–65.54 56.19–66.83 | 77.20 72.87–81.52 71.56–82.83 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.61 7.17–14.36 | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.62–14.01 | 21.08 15.30–26.86 13.79–28.37 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.57 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 4.20 1.94–6.45 1.35–7.04 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.92–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.40 0.27–2.53 0.00–2.82 | 3.37 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.30 2.87–5.74 2.48–6.13 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 6.67 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 71% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.