Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.990.763.75safe2.02–3.960.00–1.611.92–5.57safer1.77–4.210.00–1.841.44–6.05
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.832.8510.68safe5.97–9.691.11–4.597.07–14.28safer5.48–10.180.64–5.066.12–15.24
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.647.7629.40safe17.71–25.564.20–11.3321.91–36.89safer16.62–26.653.24–12.2819.86–38.94
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.775.2920.07safe11.83–17.722.61–7.9714.44–25.69safer11.00–18.551.87–8.7112.88–27.26
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.112.088.19safe4.22–7.990.43–3.734.65–11.72safer3.68–8.530.00–4.233.62–12.76
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.392.8011.19safe6.18–10.610.80–4.806.98–15.41safer5.61–11.180.27–5.335.87–16.52
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.1234.69safe58.33–71.9127.91–41.48safer56.66–73.5826.24–43.15
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction636346982safe569–703279–412848–1115safer551–722262–430812–1151
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction79.2267.25safe75.19–83.2562.92–71.57safer73.90–84.5561.61–72.88
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0010.7319.72safe6.16–11.837.78–13.6713.94–25.50safer5.40–12.597.03–14.4212.44–27.01
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.164.17safe0.85–3.171.06–3.251.91–6.42safer0.55–3.470.78–3.541.32–7.01
Yellow cards
16%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.103.04safe0.00–1.990.97–3.230.86–5.21safer0.00–2.250.68–3.520.30–5.77
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.796.86safe0.64–3.513.23–6.343.87–9.85safer0.25–3.902.81–6.773.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.99 2.02–3.96 1.77–4.21 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.75 1.92–5.57 1.44–6.05 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 7.83 5.97–9.69 5.48–10.18 | 2.85 1.11–4.59 0.64–5.06 | 10.68 7.07–14.28 6.12–15.24 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.64 17.71–25.56 16.62–26.65 | 7.76 4.20–11.33 3.24–12.28 | 29.40 21.91–36.89 19.86–38.94 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.77 11.83–17.72 11.00–18.55 | 5.29 2.61–7.97 1.87–8.71 | 20.07 14.44–25.69 12.88–27.26 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 6.11 4.22–7.99 3.68–8.53 | 2.08 0.43–3.73 0.00–4.23 | 8.19 4.65–11.72 3.62–12.76 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.39 6.18–10.61 5.61–11.18 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.27–5.33 | 11.19 6.98–15.41 5.87–16.52 | 94% |
| Possession % | 65.12 58.33–71.91 56.66–73.58 | 34.69 27.91–41.48 26.24–43.15 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 636 569–703 551–722 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 982 848–1115 812–1151 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.22 75.19–83.25 73.90–84.55 | 67.25 62.92–71.57 61.61–72.88 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.00 6.16–11.83 5.40–12.59 | 10.73 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 19.72 13.94–25.50 12.44–27.01 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 2.16 1.06–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 4.17 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 0.94 0.00–1.99 0.00–2.25 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.04 0.86–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 16% 20% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 4.79 3.23–6.34 2.81–6.77 | 6.86 3.87–9.85 3.05–10.66 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+