Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.873.29safe0.45–2.391.02–2.721.47–5.11safer0.20–2.640.79–2.950.99–5.59
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.736.3411.07safe2.86–6.594.60–8.097.46–14.67safer2.37–7.084.13–8.556.51–15.63
Total shots
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6017.9532.56safe10.68–18.5314.39–21.5225.07–40.04safer9.59–19.6213.43–22.4823.02–42.09
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2511.7721.01safe6.30–12.199.09–14.4515.39–26.64safer5.48–13.028.35–15.1813.82–28.20
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.518.14safe1.75–5.512.86–6.164.61–11.68safer1.21–6.062.36–6.663.57–12.71
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.6110.70safe2.88–7.313.61–7.616.49–14.91safer2.31–7.883.08–8.145.38–16.02
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction46.9552.79safe40.16–53.7446.00–59.57safer38.49–55.4144.33–61.25
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction412457868safe344–479390–523734–1002safer326–497373–540699–1037
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction65.5473.73safe61.51–69.5769.41–78.06safer60.22–70.8668.10–79.37
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6713.3225.98safe9.83–15.5010.37–16.2620.20–31.77safer9.07–16.269.63–17.0118.70–33.27
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.513.13safe0.45–2.770.42–2.600.87–5.38safer0.15–3.070.13–2.890.28–5.97
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.214.23safe0.96–3.061.09–3.342.05–6.40safer0.70–3.330.79–3.631.49–6.96
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.063.187.24safe2.62–5.491.63–4.744.25–10.23safer2.23–5.881.20–5.163.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.87 1.02–2.72 0.79–2.95 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 6.34 4.60–8.09 4.13–8.55 | 11.07 7.46–14.67 6.51–15.63 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 14.60 10.68–18.53 9.59–19.62 | 17.95 14.39–21.52 13.43–22.48 | 32.56 25.07–40.04 23.02–42.09 | 25% 69% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.30–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 11.77 9.09–14.45 8.35–15.18 | 21.01 15.39–26.64 13.82–28.20 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.21–6.06 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.36–6.66 | 8.14 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.71 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.08–8.14 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.95 40.16–53.74 38.49–55.41 | 52.79 46.00–59.57 44.33–61.25 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 412 344–479 326–497 | 457 390–523 373–540 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.54 61.51–69.57 60.22–70.86 | 73.73 69.41–78.06 68.10–79.37 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 13.32 10.37–16.26 9.63–17.01 | 25.98 20.20–31.77 18.70–33.27 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.21 1.09–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.23 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.06 2.62–5.49 2.23–5.88 | 3.18 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 7.24 4.25–10.23 3.44–11.05 | 55% 14% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+