Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
19%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.403.76safe1.40–3.330.54–2.251.94–5.58safer1.14–3.580.31–2.481.46–6.06
Shots on target
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.684.2110.88safe4.82–8.542.46–5.957.28–14.49safer4.33–9.032.00–6.426.32–15.45
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9411.3230.26safe15.02–22.877.76–14.8822.78–37.75safer13.93–23.966.80–15.8420.73–39.80
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction12.817.8520.66safe9.87–15.755.17–10.5315.03–26.28safer9.04–16.584.43–11.2713.47–27.85
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.098.46safe3.48–7.241.44–4.754.92–11.99safer2.94–7.790.95–5.243.89–13.03
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.2610.46safe3.98–8.412.26–6.266.25–14.68safer3.41–8.981.73–6.805.14–15.78
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.5143.38safe50.72–64.3036.59–50.16safer49.05–65.9734.92–51.83
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction504379883safe436–571312–445749–1016safer418–589295–463713–1052
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction73.5167.47safe69.48–77.5463.14–71.79safer68.19–78.8361.83–73.10
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9712.4024.36safe9.13–14.819.45–15.3418.58–30.15safer8.37–15.568.70–16.0917.08–31.65
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.653.23safe0.42–2.740.56–2.750.98–5.49safer0.12–3.040.27–3.040.39–6.08
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.933.47safe0.49–2.590.81–3.061.29–5.65safer0.22–2.850.51–3.350.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.467.14safe1.24–4.112.90–6.024.14–10.13safer0.85–4.502.48–6.443.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.36 1.40–3.33 1.14–3.58 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 3.76 1.94–5.58 1.46–6.06 | 59% 19% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.68 4.82–8.54 4.33–9.03 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 10.88 7.28–14.49 6.32–15.45 | 73% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.94 15.02–22.87 13.93–23.96 | 11.32 7.76–14.88 6.80–15.84 | 30.26 22.78–37.75 20.73–39.80 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 12.81 9.87–15.75 9.04–16.58 | 7.85 5.17–10.53 4.43–11.27 | 20.66 15.03–26.28 13.47–27.85 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.36 3.48–7.24 2.94–7.79 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 8.46 4.92–11.99 3.89–13.03 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 57.51 50.72–64.30 49.05–65.97 | 43.38 36.59–50.16 34.92–51.83 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 504 436–571 418–589 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.48–77.54 68.19–78.83 | 67.47 63.14–71.79 61.83–73.10 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.97 9.13–14.81 8.37–15.56 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 24.36 18.58–30.15 17.08–31.65 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.22–2.85 | 1.93 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 4.46 2.90–6.02 2.48–6.44 | 7.14 4.14–10.13 3.33–10.94 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+