Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.263.35safe0.12–2.061.41–3.111.52–5.17safer0.00–2.311.18–3.341.04–5.65
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.656.179.82safe1.78–5.514.43–7.926.21–13.42safer1.29–6.003.97–8.385.26–14.38
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2817.0828.36safe7.35–15.2013.52–20.6520.88–35.85safer6.26–16.2912.56–21.6118.82–37.90
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7512.2018.95safe3.81–9.699.52–14.8813.33–24.57safer2.98–10.528.78–15.6211.76–26.14
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.244.818.05safe1.36–5.123.16–6.474.52–11.59safer0.82–5.672.67–6.963.48–12.62
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.036.2010.22safe1.81–6.244.20–8.206.01–14.44safer1.24–6.813.67–8.734.90–15.54
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.5364.25safe29.74–43.3257.47–71.04safer28.07–44.9955.80–72.71
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction334578912safe267–401511–644778–1046safer249–420494–662743–1081
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction60.9077.35safe56.87–64.9373.03–81.67safer55.58–66.2271.72–82.98
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7811.8923.67safe8.95–14.628.94–14.8317.89–29.45safer8.19–15.388.20–15.5816.38–30.96
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.553.09safe0.38–2.700.46–2.640.84–5.34safer0.08–3.000.17–2.930.25–5.93
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.943.90safe0.91–3.010.81–3.071.72–6.07safer0.64–3.270.52–3.361.16–6.63
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.132.576.70safe2.69–5.571.01–4.133.71–9.69safer2.31–5.950.59–4.552.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 2.26 1.41–3.11 1.18–3.34 | 3.35 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 6.17 4.43–7.92 3.97–8.38 | 9.82 6.21–13.42 5.26–14.38 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.28 7.35–15.20 6.26–16.29 | 17.08 13.52–20.65 12.56–21.61 | 28.36 20.88–35.85 18.82–37.90 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.75 3.81–9.69 2.98–10.52 | 12.20 9.52–14.88 8.78–15.62 | 18.95 13.33–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.12 0.82–5.67 | 4.81 3.16–6.47 2.67–6.96 | 8.05 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.62 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.03 1.81–6.24 1.24–6.81 | 6.20 4.20–8.20 3.67–8.73 | 10.22 6.01–14.44 4.90–15.54 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 36.53 29.74–43.32 28.07–44.99 | 64.25 57.47–71.04 55.80–72.71 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–420 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.90 56.87–64.93 55.58–66.22 | 77.35 73.03–81.67 71.72–82.98 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.20–15.58 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.90 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.13 2.69–5.57 2.31–5.95 | 2.57 1.01–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 66% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.