Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.630.873.50safe1.66–3.600.01–1.721.68–5.32safer1.41–3.850.00–1.951.20–5.80
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.353.4310.79safe5.49–9.221.69–5.177.18–14.39safer5.00–9.711.22–5.646.22–15.35
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.8710.0030.87safe16.95–24.806.44–13.5723.39–38.36safer15.86–25.895.48–14.5221.34–40.41
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction14.286.6320.91safe11.33–17.223.95–9.3115.29–26.53safer10.50–18.053.22–10.0513.72–28.10
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.322.828.14safe3.44–7.201.17–4.484.61–11.68safer2.89–7.750.68–4.973.57–12.72
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.583.3910.97safe5.37–9.791.39–5.396.75–15.18safer4.79–10.370.85–5.925.65–16.29
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.2335.30safe57.44–71.0228.51–42.08safer55.77–72.6926.84–43.75
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611337948safe544–679270–403815–1082safer526–697253–421779–1118
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.1666.90safe72.13–80.1962.57–71.22safer70.83–81.4861.26–72.53
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1111.2122.32safe8.27–13.958.26–14.1516.53–28.10safer7.52–14.707.51–14.9015.03–29.60
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.533.11safe0.43–2.750.43–2.620.86–5.36safer0.12–3.050.14–2.910.27–5.95
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.853.10safe0.20–2.300.72–2.970.92–5.28safer0.00–2.570.43–3.270.36–5.83
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.274.446.70safe0.83–3.702.88–5.993.71–9.70safer0.44–4.092.46–6.422.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.63 1.66–3.60 1.41–3.85 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.50 1.68–5.32 1.20–5.80 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.35 5.49–9.22 5.00–9.71 | 3.43 1.69–5.17 1.22–5.64 | 10.79 7.18–14.39 6.22–15.35 | 85% |
| Total shots | 20.87 16.95–24.80 15.86–25.89 | 10.00 6.44–13.57 5.48–14.52 | 30.87 23.39–38.36 21.34–40.41 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.28 11.33–17.22 10.50–18.05 | 6.63 3.95–9.31 3.22–10.05 | 20.91 15.29–26.53 13.72–28.10 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.32 3.44–7.20 2.89–7.75 | 2.82 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 8.14 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.72 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 7.58 5.37–9.79 4.79–10.37 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.85–5.92 | 10.97 6.75–15.18 5.65–16.29 | 87% |
| Possession % | 64.23 57.44–71.02 55.77–72.69 | 35.30 28.51–42.08 26.84–43.75 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 611 544–679 526–697 | 337 270–403 253–421 | 948 815–1082 779–1118 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.16 72.13–80.19 70.83–81.48 | 66.90 62.57–71.22 61.26–72.53 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.95 7.52–14.70 | 11.21 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 22.32 16.53–28.10 15.03–29.60 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 1.53 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 1.85 0.72–2.97 0.43–3.27 | 3.10 0.92–5.28 0.36–5.83 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 4.44 2.88–5.99 2.46–6.42 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+