Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.163.43safe1.31–3.240.30–2.011.61–5.25safer1.05–3.490.07–2.241.13–5.73
Shots on target
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.684.2610.94safe4.82–8.542.52–6.007.34–14.55safer4.33–9.032.05–6.476.38–15.50
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5212.5131.03safe14.59–22.448.95–16.0823.54–38.52safer13.50–23.537.99–17.0421.49–40.57
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction13.097.8720.96safe10.15–16.035.19–10.5515.34–26.58safer9.32–16.864.45–11.2913.77–28.15
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.217.91safe2.82–6.581.56–4.864.37–11.45safer2.28–7.131.06–5.353.34–12.48
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.334.0810.41safe4.12–8.552.08–6.086.20–14.63safer3.55–9.121.54–6.615.09–15.73
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0845.23safe48.29–61.8738.44–52.01safer46.62–63.5436.77–53.68
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction526426952safe459–593360–493818–1086safer441–611342–510783–1121
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction73.9473.08safe69.91–77.9768.75–77.40safer68.62–79.2667.44–78.71
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9611.0523.00safe9.12–14.798.10–13.9917.22–28.79safer8.36–15.557.35–14.7415.72–30.29
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.323.54safe1.06–3.380.22–2.411.29–5.79safer0.76–3.680.00–2.700.70–6.38
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.003.49safe0.44–2.540.87–3.121.31–5.67safer0.18–2.810.58–3.420.75–6.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.024.237.25safe1.58–4.462.68–5.794.26–10.25safer1.20–4.842.25–6.213.45–11.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.31–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 3.43 1.61–5.25 1.13–5.73 | 62% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.68 4.82–8.54 4.33–9.03 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 10.94 7.34–14.55 6.38–15.50 | 72% 19% |
| Total shots | 18.52 14.59–22.44 13.50–23.53 | 12.51 8.95–16.08 7.99–17.04 | 31.03 23.54–38.52 21.49–40.57 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 13.09 10.15–16.03 9.32–16.86 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.29 | 20.96 15.34–26.58 13.77–28.15 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.28–7.13 | 3.21 1.56–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.91 4.37–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.12–8.55 3.55–9.12 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.54–6.61 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.08 48.29–61.87 46.62–63.54 | 45.23 38.44–52.01 36.77–53.68 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–611 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.94 69.91–77.97 68.62–79.26 | 73.08 68.75–77.40 67.44–78.71 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 11.05 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 23.00 17.22–28.79 15.72–30.29 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 2.00 0.87–3.12 0.58–3.42 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.02 1.58–4.46 1.20–4.84 | 4.23 2.68–5.79 2.25–6.21 | 7.25 4.26–10.25 3.45–11.06 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.