Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.143.60safe0.49–2.431.29–2.991.78–5.42safer0.24–2.681.06–3.221.30–5.90
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.8610.72safe3.00–6.734.11–7.607.11–14.32safer2.51–7.213.65–8.066.16–15.28
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9115.6729.58safe9.99–17.8412.11–19.2322.10–37.07safer8.90–18.9311.15–20.1920.05–39.12
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7310.7419.48safe5.79–11.688.06–13.4213.85–25.10safer4.96–12.517.32–14.1612.29–26.67
Blocked shots
48%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.193.807.99safe2.31–6.082.14–5.454.46–11.53safer1.77–6.621.65–5.943.42–12.56
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.2810.17safe2.67–7.103.28–7.285.96–14.38safer2.10–7.672.75–7.814.85–15.49
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.4851.35safe42.69–56.2744.57–58.14safer41.02–57.9442.90–59.81
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction466476943safe399–534410–543809–1076safer381–552392–560773–1112
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction68.2273.81safe64.19–72.2569.49–78.13safer62.90–73.5468.18–79.44
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7712.7223.49safe7.93–13.609.78–15.6717.71–29.27safer7.17–14.369.03–16.4216.20–30.78
Offsides
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.003.42safe0.26–2.580.90–3.091.16–5.67safer0.00–2.880.62–3.380.58–6.26
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.093.57safe0.43–2.530.96–3.221.39–5.74safer0.16–2.790.67–3.510.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.297.10safe2.37–5.241.73–4.854.11–10.09safer1.98–5.631.31–5.273.29–10.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 2.14 1.29–2.99 1.06–3.22 | 3.60 1.78–5.42 1.30–5.90 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.21 | 5.86 4.11–7.60 3.65–8.06 | 10.72 7.11–14.32 6.16–15.28 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.99–17.84 8.90–18.93 | 15.67 12.11–19.23 11.15–20.19 | 29.58 22.10–37.07 20.05–39.12 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.73 5.79–11.68 4.96–12.51 | 10.74 8.06–13.42 7.32–14.16 | 19.48 13.85–25.10 12.29–26.67 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 3.80 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.56 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.81 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 49.48 42.69–56.27 41.02–57.94 | 51.35 44.57–58.14 42.90–59.81 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.22 64.19–72.25 62.90–73.54 | 73.81 69.49–78.13 68.18–79.44 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 12.72 9.78–15.67 9.03–16.42 | 23.49 17.71–29.27 16.20–30.78 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.00 0.90–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 7.10 4.11–10.09 3.29–10.90 | 50% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+