Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.652.85safe0.23–2.170.79–2.501.02–4.67safer0.00–2.420.57–2.730.54–5.15
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.999.13safe2.28–6.013.24–6.735.53–12.74safer1.79–6.502.78–7.194.57–13.69
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2214.3226.54safe8.29–16.1410.76–17.8819.05–34.03safer7.20–17.249.80–18.8417.00–36.08
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6010.7018.30safe4.66–10.558.02–13.3812.68–23.93safer3.83–11.377.28–14.1211.11–25.49
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.754.127.88safe1.87–5.642.47–5.784.34–11.41safer1.33–6.181.98–6.273.31–12.45
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.5810.43safe2.63–7.063.58–7.586.21–14.64safer2.06–7.633.05–8.115.11–15.75
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction49.0852.27safe42.29–55.8745.49–59.06safer40.62–57.5443.81–60.73
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction427451879safe360–495385–518745–1012safer342–513367–535709–1048
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction60.8571.59safe56.83–64.8867.26–75.91safer55.53–66.1865.96–77.22
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8412.0121.85safe7.00–12.689.06–14.9516.07–27.63safer6.25–13.438.32–15.7014.56–29.14
Offsides
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.163.81safe0.48–2.811.07–3.261.56–6.06safer0.18–3.110.78–3.550.97–6.65
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.233.89safe0.61–2.711.11–3.361.72–6.07safer0.34–2.980.81–3.661.16–6.63
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.172.856.02safe1.74–4.611.29–4.413.03–9.02safer1.35–5.000.87–4.832.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 4.99 3.24–6.73 2.78–7.19 | 9.13 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.69 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.29–16.14 7.20–17.24 | 14.32 10.76–17.88 9.80–18.84 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.60 4.66–10.55 3.83–11.37 | 10.70 8.02–13.38 7.28–14.12 | 18.30 12.68–23.93 11.11–25.49 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 4.12 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 5.58 3.58–7.58 3.05–8.11 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 49.08 42.29–55.87 40.62–57.54 | 52.27 45.49–59.06 43.81–60.73 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.85 56.83–64.88 55.53–66.18 | 71.59 67.26–75.91 65.96–77.22 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.00–12.68 6.25–13.43 | 12.01 9.06–14.95 8.32–15.70 | 21.85 16.07–27.63 14.56–29.14 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.48–2.81 0.18–3.11 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.55 | 3.81 1.56–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.98 | 2.23 1.11–3.36 0.81–3.66 | 3.89 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.