Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.042.81safe0.80–2.740.19–1.900.99–4.63safer0.55–2.990.00–2.130.51–5.11
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.458.82safe3.51–7.241.71–5.195.22–12.43safer3.02–7.731.24–5.664.26–13.38
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1710.3626.53safe12.25–20.106.79–13.9219.04–34.02safer11.16–21.195.83–14.8816.99–36.07
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.576.8918.46safe8.63–14.524.21–9.5712.84–24.09safer7.80–15.343.47–10.3111.27–25.65
Blocked shots
61%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.097.42safe2.45–6.211.43–4.743.88–10.95safer1.90–6.760.94–5.232.84–11.99
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.364.0610.42safe4.14–8.572.06–6.066.21–14.63safer3.57–9.141.53–6.605.10–15.74
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.9247.65safe46.13–59.7140.86–54.43safer44.46–61.3839.19–56.10
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction467412880safe400–534346–479746–1013safer382–552328–496710–1049
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction69.6667.92safe65.63–73.6963.59–72.24safer64.34–74.9862.29–73.55
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1911.1922.38safe8.35–14.028.25–14.1416.60–28.16safer7.59–14.787.50–14.8815.09–29.67
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.473.55safe0.92–3.240.37–2.561.29–5.80safer0.62–3.540.09–2.850.70–6.39
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.773.38safe0.57–2.660.64–2.901.21–5.56safer0.30–2.930.35–3.190.65–6.12
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.415.70safe0.86–3.731.85–4.972.71–8.69safer0.47–4.121.43–5.391.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.24 3.02–7.73 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.17 12.25–20.10 11.16–21.19 | 10.36 6.79–13.92 5.83–14.88 | 26.53 19.04–34.02 16.99–36.07 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.57 8.63–14.52 7.80–15.34 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 18.46 12.84–24.09 11.27–25.65 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.99 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.14–8.57 3.57–9.14 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 10.42 6.21–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 52.92 46.13–59.71 44.46–61.38 | 47.65 40.86–54.43 39.19–56.10 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–552 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.66 65.63–73.69 64.34–74.98 | 67.92 63.59–72.24 62.29–73.55 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.35–14.02 7.59–14.78 | 11.19 8.25–14.14 7.50–14.88 | 22.38 16.60–28.16 15.09–29.67 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.38 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.41 1.85–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.51 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.