Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.473.14safe0.70–2.640.62–2.331.32–4.97safer0.45–2.890.39–2.560.84–5.45
Shots on target
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.7910.15safe3.50–7.223.05–6.536.55–13.76safer3.01–7.712.58–7.005.59–14.71
Total shots
64%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1814.6531.83safe13.25–21.1011.09–18.2124.34–39.31safer12.16–22.1910.13–19.1722.29–41.37
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.679.7120.38safe7.73–13.617.03–12.3914.76–26.00safer6.90–14.446.29–13.1313.19–27.57
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.798.32safe2.64–6.412.14–5.454.78–11.85safer2.10–6.951.65–5.943.75–12.89
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.575.1610.74safe3.36–7.793.16–7.166.52–14.95safer2.79–8.362.63–7.705.42–16.06
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.4246.26safe47.63–61.2139.47–53.04safer45.96–62.8837.80–54.71
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction497414911safe430–564348–480777–1045safer411–582330–498742–1080
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction70.6869.62safe66.65–74.7165.30–73.95safer65.36–76.0063.99–75.26
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4311.4521.88safe7.60–13.278.50–14.3916.10–27.66safer6.84–14.037.75–15.1414.59–29.17
Offsides
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.163.87safe0.55–2.871.07–3.261.62–6.12safer0.25–3.170.78–3.541.03–6.71
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.013.43safe0.38–2.480.88–3.131.25–5.61safer0.11–2.740.59–3.430.70–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.756.87safe1.68–4.562.20–5.313.88–9.87safer1.30–4.941.77–5.733.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 4.79 3.05–6.53 2.58–7.00 | 10.15 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.71 | 51% 37% |
| Total shots | 17.18 13.25–21.10 12.16–22.19 | 14.65 11.09–18.21 10.13–19.17 | 31.83 24.34–39.31 22.29–41.37 | 64% 30% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 20.38 14.76–26.00 13.19–27.57 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.75–12.89 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.36 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.70 | 10.74 6.52–14.95 5.42–16.06 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 54.42 47.63–61.21 45.96–62.88 | 46.26 39.47–53.04 37.80–54.71 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 411–582 | 414 348–480 330–498 | 911 777–1045 742–1080 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.68 66.65–74.71 65.36–76.00 | 69.62 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.43 7.60–13.27 6.84–14.03 | 11.45 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 21.88 16.10–27.66 14.59–29.17 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.54 | 3.87 1.62–6.12 1.03–6.71 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.59–3.43 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.56 1.30–4.94 | 3.75 2.20–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.87 3.88–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.