Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.513.22safe0.73–2.670.66–2.371.39–5.04safer0.48–2.920.43–2.600.91–5.52
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.9110.26safe3.49–7.223.17–6.656.66–13.87safer3.00–7.712.70–7.125.70–14.82
Total shots
60%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6914.8231.51safe12.77–20.6211.25–18.3824.02–38.99safer11.68–21.7110.29–19.3421.97–41.04
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction11.419.1620.58safe8.47–14.366.48–11.8414.95–26.20safer7.64–15.185.75–12.5813.39–27.77
Blocked shots
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.698.50safe2.93–6.692.04–5.344.96–12.04safer2.38–7.231.55–5.843.93–13.07
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.364.6411.00safe4.15–8.572.64–6.646.79–15.21safer3.57–9.152.11–7.175.68–16.32
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.1651.47safe41.37–54.9544.68–58.25safer39.70–56.6243.01–59.93
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction453457910safe386–520390–523776–1043safer368–538373–541740–1079
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction68.1273.40safe64.09–72.1569.07–77.72safer62.80–73.4467.76–79.03
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0010.8221.83safe8.16–13.847.88–13.7716.04–27.61safer7.41–14.607.13–14.5214.54–29.11
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.703.99safe1.13–3.450.61–2.791.73–6.24safer0.83–3.750.32–3.081.14–6.83
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.682.99safe0.26–2.360.55–2.810.81–5.17safer0.00–2.620.26–3.100.25–5.73
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.857.06safe1.77–4.642.29–5.414.06–10.05safer1.38–5.031.87–5.833.25–10.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 3.22 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 42% 23% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 16.69 12.77–20.62 11.68–21.71 | 14.82 11.25–18.38 10.29–19.34 | 31.51 24.02–38.99 21.97–41.04 | 60% 34% |
| Shots in box | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.18 | 9.16 6.48–11.84 5.75–12.58 | 20.58 14.95–26.20 13.39–27.77 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.69 2.38–7.23 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.55–5.84 | 8.50 4.96–12.04 3.93–13.07 | 58% 29% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.15–8.57 3.57–9.15 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 11.00 6.79–15.21 5.68–16.32 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 48.16 41.37–54.95 39.70–56.62 | 51.47 44.68–58.25 43.01–59.93 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.12 64.09–72.15 62.80–73.44 | 73.40 69.07–77.72 67.76–79.03 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 10.82 7.88–13.77 7.13–14.52 | 21.83 16.04–27.61 14.54–29.11 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.99 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.62 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 2.99 0.81–5.17 0.25–5.73 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.85 2.29–5.41 1.87–5.83 | 7.06 4.06–10.05 3.25–10.86 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.