Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.433.70safe1.31–3.240.58–2.281.88–5.53safer1.05–3.490.35–2.511.40–6.01
Shots on target
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction7.084.5311.61safe5.21–8.942.79–6.278.00–15.21safer4.72–9.432.32–6.747.05–16.17
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction20.4512.2232.66safe16.52–24.378.66–15.7825.18–40.15safer15.43–25.467.70–16.7423.13–42.20
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction13.888.5122.39safe10.94–16.835.83–11.1916.77–28.01safer10.11–17.665.09–11.9215.20–29.58
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.808.69safe4.01–7.771.14–4.455.15–12.22safer3.46–8.320.65–4.944.12–13.26
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.514.1311.64safe5.30–9.732.13–6.137.43–15.85safer4.73–10.301.59–6.666.32–16.96
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2944.10safe49.50–63.0837.31–50.88safer47.83–64.7535.64–52.55
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction555421977safe488–623355–488843–1111safer470–641337–505808–1146
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction76.0173.55safe71.98–80.0469.22–77.87safer70.69–81.3367.91–79.18
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0411.5421.58safe7.20–12.888.60–14.4915.80–27.36safer6.44–13.637.85–15.2414.30–28.87
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.544.61safe0.91–3.231.45–3.632.35–6.86safer0.61–3.531.16–3.921.77–7.45
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.913.29safe0.32–2.420.78–3.041.11–5.46safer0.06–2.690.49–3.330.55–6.02
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.084.707.78safe1.65–4.523.14–6.254.79–10.77safer1.26–4.912.72–6.683.98–11.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.31–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.43 0.58–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 3.70 1.88–5.53 1.40–6.01 | 57% 20% 24% |
| Shots on target | 7.08 5.21–8.94 4.72–9.43 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 11.61 8.00–15.21 7.05–16.17 | 73% 18% |
| Total shots | 20.45 16.52–24.37 15.43–25.46 | 12.22 8.66–15.78 7.70–16.74 | 32.66 25.18–40.15 23.13–42.20 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 13.88 10.94–16.83 10.11–17.66 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.92 | 22.39 16.77–28.01 15.20–29.58 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.01–7.77 3.46–8.32 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 8.69 5.15–12.22 4.12–13.26 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.51 5.30–9.73 4.73–10.30 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.59–6.66 | 11.64 7.43–15.85 6.32–16.96 | 80% |
| Possession % | 56.29 49.50–63.08 47.83–64.75 | 44.10 37.31–50.88 35.64–52.55 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 555 488–623 470–641 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 977 843–1111 808–1146 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.01 71.98–80.04 70.69–81.33 | 73.55 69.22–77.87 67.91–79.18 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.20–12.88 6.44–13.63 | 11.54 8.60–14.49 7.85–15.24 | 21.58 15.80–27.36 14.30–28.87 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 2.54 1.45–3.63 1.16–3.92 | 4.61 2.35–6.86 1.77–7.45 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.29 1.11–5.46 0.55–6.02 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 4.70 3.14–6.25 2.72–6.68 | 7.78 4.79–10.77 3.98–11.59 | 22% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+