Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.923.50safe0.61–2.541.07–2.781.67–5.32safer0.36–2.790.84–3.001.19–5.80
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.936.0610.99safe3.07–6.804.31–7.807.39–14.60safer2.58–7.293.85–8.266.43–15.55
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1316.9632.08safe11.20–19.0513.40–20.5224.60–39.57safer10.11–20.1412.44–21.4822.55–41.62
Shots in box
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7411.2420.98safe6.80–12.698.56–13.9215.36–26.61safer5.97–13.527.82–14.6613.79–28.17
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.768.54safe1.90–5.673.11–6.415.01–12.08safer1.36–6.212.61–6.903.97–13.11
Corners
34%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.955.8310.78safe2.73–7.163.83–7.836.57–14.99safer2.16–7.733.30–8.375.46–16.10
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.9653.59safe41.17–54.7646.81–60.38safer39.50–56.4245.14–62.05
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction459511970safe392–526444–577836–1103safer373–544427–595800–1139
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction70.3977.47safe66.36–74.4273.15–81.80safer65.07–75.7171.84–83.11
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9410.4921.44safe8.11–13.787.55–13.4415.65–27.22safer7.35–14.546.80–14.1914.15–28.72
Offsides
51%
19%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.994.54safe1.38–3.700.90–3.082.28–6.79safer1.08–4.010.61–3.371.69–7.38
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.903.43safe0.48–2.580.77–3.031.25–5.61safer0.21–2.840.48–3.320.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.277.22safe2.52–5.391.71–4.824.23–10.22safer2.13–5.781.29–5.253.42–11.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.79 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 3.50 1.67–5.32 1.19–5.80 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 6.06 4.31–7.80 3.85–8.26 | 10.99 7.39–14.60 6.43–15.55 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.20–19.05 10.11–20.14 | 16.96 13.40–20.52 12.44–21.48 | 32.08 24.60–39.57 22.55–41.62 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.80–12.69 5.97–13.52 | 11.24 8.56–13.92 7.82–14.66 | 20.98 15.36–26.61 13.79–28.17 | 33% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.76 3.11–6.41 2.61–6.90 | 8.54 5.01–12.08 3.97–13.11 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 5.83 3.83–7.83 3.30–8.37 | 10.78 6.57–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 34% 55% |
| Possession % | 47.96 41.17–54.76 39.50–56.42 | 53.59 46.81–60.38 45.14–62.05 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 373–544 | 511 444–577 427–595 | 970 836–1103 800–1139 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.39 66.36–74.42 65.07–75.71 | 77.47 73.15–81.80 71.84–83.11 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 10.94 8.11–13.78 7.35–14.54 | 10.49 7.55–13.44 6.80–14.19 | 21.44 15.65–27.22 14.15–28.72 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.01 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 4.54 2.28–6.79 1.69–7.38 | 51% 19% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.16 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 3.27 1.71–4.82 1.29–5.25 | 7.22 4.23–10.22 3.42–11.03 | 53% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.