Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.771.093.86safe1.80–3.740.23–1.942.03–5.68safer1.55–3.990.00–2.171.55–6.16
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.943.8311.77safe6.08–9.802.08–5.578.16–15.37safer5.59–10.291.62–6.037.21–16.33
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction21.5010.4431.94safe17.57–25.426.88–14.0124.46–39.43safer16.48–26.525.92–14.9722.40–41.48
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction14.227.3221.54safe11.28–17.164.64–10.0015.92–27.16safer10.45–17.993.90–10.7414.35–28.73
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.188.38safe3.32–7.081.53–4.834.84–11.91safer2.77–7.621.04–5.333.81–12.95
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.413.4710.88safe5.20–9.631.47–5.476.67–15.09safer4.62–10.200.94–6.005.56–16.20
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.8438.78safe56.05–69.6332.00–45.57safer54.38–71.3030.32–47.24
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction602363965safe535–669296–429831–1098safer517–688279–447795–1134
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction75.5068.12safe71.47–79.5363.80–72.44safer70.18–80.8262.49–73.75
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9712.2622.23safe7.13–12.809.31–15.2016.44–28.01safer6.37–13.568.56–15.9514.94–29.51
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.633.19safe0.40–2.720.54–2.720.94–5.45safer0.10–3.020.25–3.010.35–6.04
Yellow cards
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.053.22safe0.12–2.220.92–3.181.04–5.40safer0.00–2.480.63–3.470.49–5.96
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.977.39safe0.98–3.853.42–6.534.40–10.38safer0.59–4.242.99–6.953.58–11.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.77 1.80–3.74 1.55–3.99 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.86 2.03–5.68 1.55–6.16 | 73% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.94 6.08–9.80 5.59–10.29 | 3.83 2.08–5.57 1.62–6.03 | 11.77 8.16–15.37 7.21–16.33 | 86% |
| Total shots | 21.50 17.57–25.42 16.48–26.52 | 10.44 6.88–14.01 5.92–14.97 | 31.94 24.46–39.43 22.40–41.48 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.22 11.28–17.16 10.45–17.99 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.74 | 21.54 15.92–27.16 14.35–28.73 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.20 3.32–7.08 2.77–7.62 | 3.18 1.53–4.83 1.04–5.33 | 8.38 4.84–11.91 3.81–12.95 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 7.41 5.20–9.63 4.62–10.20 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.00 | 10.88 6.67–15.09 5.56–16.20 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.84 56.05–69.63 54.38–71.30 | 38.78 32.00–45.57 30.32–47.24 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 602 535–669 517–688 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 965 831–1098 795–1134 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.50 71.47–79.53 70.18–80.82 | 68.12 63.80–72.44 62.49–73.75 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 9.97 7.13–12.80 6.37–13.56 | 12.26 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 22.23 16.44–28.01 14.94–29.51 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.22 0.00–2.48 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 4.97 3.42–6.53 2.99–6.95 | 7.39 4.40–10.38 3.58–11.19 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.