Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.202.523.73safe0.23–2.171.67–3.381.90–5.55safer0.00–2.421.44–3.611.42–6.03
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction4.046.7610.80safe2.18–5.905.02–8.507.20–14.41safer1.69–6.394.55–8.976.24–15.36
Total shots
15%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9118.2231.12safe8.98–16.8314.65–21.7823.64–38.61safer7.89–17.9213.70–22.7421.59–40.66
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2812.6420.92safe5.34–11.229.96–15.3215.30–26.54safer4.51–12.059.22–16.0613.73–28.11
Blocked shots
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.934.828.75safe2.05–5.813.16–6.475.21–12.28safer1.51–6.362.67–6.964.18–13.32
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.436.3610.78safe2.21–6.644.36–8.366.57–15.00safer1.64–7.213.82–8.895.46–16.10
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction37.7561.66safe30.96–44.5454.87–68.44safer29.29–46.2153.20–70.11
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction355572927safe287–422506–639793–1061safer269–440488–656758–1096
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction63.0777.73safe59.04–67.1073.41–82.05safer57.75–68.3972.10–83.36
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2910.4423.73safe10.45–16.137.50–13.3917.95–29.51safer9.70–16.886.75–14.1416.44–31.02
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.553.11safe0.40–2.720.46–2.650.86–5.36safer0.10–3.020.17–2.930.27–5.95
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.783.75safe0.92–3.010.65–2.911.57–5.92safer0.65–3.280.36–3.201.01–6.48
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.656.91safe2.83–5.701.09–4.203.92–9.90safer2.44–6.090.67–4.633.11–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 2.52 1.67–3.38 1.44–3.61 | 3.73 1.90–5.55 1.42–6.03 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 6.76 5.02–8.50 4.55–8.97 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.36 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 12.91 8.98–16.83 7.89–17.92 | 18.22 14.65–21.78 13.70–22.74 | 31.12 23.64–38.61 21.59–40.66 | 15% 81% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.34–11.22 4.51–12.05 | 12.64 9.96–15.32 9.22–16.06 | 20.92 15.30–26.54 13.73–28.11 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.51–6.36 | 4.82 3.16–6.47 2.67–6.96 | 8.75 5.21–12.28 4.18–13.32 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.21–6.64 1.64–7.21 | 6.36 4.36–8.36 3.82–8.89 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.10 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 37.75 30.96–44.54 29.29–46.21 | 61.66 54.87–68.44 53.20–70.11 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 355 287–422 269–440 | 572 506–639 488–656 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.07 59.04–67.10 57.75–68.39 | 77.73 73.41–82.05 72.10–83.36 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.13 9.70–16.88 | 10.44 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 23.73 17.95–29.51 16.44–31.02 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.83–5.70 2.44–6.09 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.71 | 66% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.