Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.743.00safe0.29–2.230.88–2.591.18–4.82safer0.04–2.480.66–2.820.70–5.30
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.399.88safe2.63–6.363.64–7.136.27–13.49safer2.14–6.843.18–7.605.32–14.44
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4214.6328.05safe9.50–17.3511.07–18.1920.57–35.54safer8.41–18.4410.11–19.1518.52–37.59
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.009.7418.74safe6.06–11.957.05–12.4213.12–24.36safer5.23–12.776.32–13.1511.55–25.93
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.138.05safe2.04–5.802.48–5.784.52–11.59safer1.49–6.351.99–6.283.48–12.62
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.555.319.86safe2.33–6.763.31–7.315.65–14.07safer1.76–7.332.78–7.854.54–15.18
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.1354.62safe39.34–52.9247.84–61.41safer37.67–54.5946.16–63.08
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction404494898safe337–471428–561765–1032safer319–490410–578729–1068
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction70.8576.05safe66.82–74.8871.73–80.37safer65.53–76.1770.42–81.68
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0311.9926.02safe11.19–16.879.05–14.9420.24–31.80safer10.44–17.628.30–15.6918.74–33.31
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.553.31safe0.60–2.920.46–2.651.06–5.57safer0.30–3.220.17–2.940.47–6.16
Yellow cards
37%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.304.41safe1.06–3.161.17–3.432.23–6.58safer0.79–3.420.88–3.721.67–7.14
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.206.59safe1.96–4.831.64–4.753.60–9.59safer1.57–5.221.22–5.182.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.74 0.88–2.59 0.66–2.82 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 28% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.63–6.36 2.14–6.84 | 5.39 3.64–7.13 3.18–7.60 | 9.88 6.27–13.49 5.32–14.44 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 14.63 11.07–18.19 10.11–19.15 | 28.05 20.57–35.54 18.52–37.59 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.95 5.23–12.77 | 9.74 7.05–12.42 6.32–13.15 | 18.74 13.12–24.36 11.55–25.93 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.49–6.35 | 4.13 2.48–5.78 1.99–6.28 | 8.05 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.62 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.55 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.85 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.13 39.34–52.92 37.67–54.59 | 54.62 47.84–61.41 46.16–63.08 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.85 66.82–74.88 65.53–76.17 | 76.05 71.73–80.37 70.42–81.68 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 14.03 11.19–16.87 10.44–17.62 | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.69 | 26.02 20.24–31.80 18.74–33.31 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.79–3.42 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.41 2.23–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 37% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 3.20 1.64–4.75 1.22–5.18 | 6.59 3.60–9.59 2.79–10.40 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.