Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.063.02safe0.99–2.930.21–1.911.20–4.84safer0.74–3.180.00–2.140.72–5.32
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.739.74safe4.15–7.871.99–5.476.14–13.35safer3.66–8.361.52–5.945.18–14.30
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9811.7028.68safe13.05–20.908.14–15.2621.19–36.16safer11.96–21.997.18–16.2219.14–38.22
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.487.2018.68safe8.54–14.424.52–9.8913.06–24.31safer7.71–15.253.79–10.6211.49–25.87
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.067.54safe2.60–6.361.41–4.714.01–11.08safer2.06–6.910.91–5.202.97–12.11
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.393.569.95safe4.18–8.601.56–5.565.74–14.17safer3.60–9.181.03–6.104.63–15.28
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.0841.48safe51.29–64.8734.70–48.27safer49.62–66.5433.02–49.94
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction548396944safe481–616330–462811–1078safer463–634312–480775–1114
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction76.1872.23safe72.15–80.2167.90–76.55safer70.86–81.5066.59–77.86
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5014.7026.20safe8.67–14.3411.75–17.6420.42–31.98safer7.91–15.1011.00–18.3918.91–33.49
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.603.32safe0.56–2.880.51–2.691.06–5.57safer0.26–3.180.22–2.980.47–6.16
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.524.25safe0.67–2.771.40–3.652.07–6.43safer0.41–3.041.10–3.941.51–6.98
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.666.16safe1.06–3.932.11–5.223.17–9.15safer0.67–4.321.68–5.642.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 1.06 0.21–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.87 3.66–8.36 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 11.70 8.14–15.26 7.18–16.22 | 28.68 21.19–36.16 19.14–38.22 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.48 8.54–14.42 7.71–15.25 | 7.20 4.52–9.89 3.79–10.62 | 18.68 13.06–24.31 11.49–25.87 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.36 2.06–6.91 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.39 4.18–8.60 3.60–9.18 | 3.56 1.56–5.56 1.03–6.10 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.08 51.29–64.87 49.62–66.54 | 41.48 34.70–48.27 33.02–49.94 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 548 481–616 463–634 | 396 330–462 312–480 | 944 811–1078 775–1114 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.18 72.15–80.21 70.86–81.50 | 72.23 67.90–76.55 66.59–77.86 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.67–14.34 7.91–15.10 | 14.70 11.75–17.64 11.00–18.39 | 26.20 20.42–31.98 18.91–33.49 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.52 1.40–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.98 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.66 2.11–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.