Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.152.093.25safe0.19–2.121.24–2.951.42–5.07safer0.00–2.371.01–3.180.94–5.55
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.566.4310.00safe1.70–5.434.69–8.186.39–13.60safer1.21–5.924.23–8.645.44–14.56
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4416.4526.89safe6.52–14.3712.88–20.0119.40–34.38safer5.43–15.4611.92–20.9717.35–36.43
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7010.7517.46safe3.76–9.658.07–13.4411.83–23.08safer2.93–10.477.34–14.1710.27–24.65
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.817.93safe1.24–5.013.16–6.464.40–11.47safer0.70–5.552.67–6.963.36–12.51
Corners
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.476.439.90safe1.26–5.684.43–8.435.69–14.11safer0.68–6.263.90–8.964.58–15.22
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.1567.03safe26.36–39.9460.25–73.82safer24.69–41.6158.58–75.49
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction326669995safe259–393602–735861–1128safer240–411585–753825–1164
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction68.3185.03safe64.28–72.3480.71–89.36safer62.98–73.6379.40–90.66
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4610.4620.93safe7.62–13.307.52–13.4115.14–26.71safer6.87–14.066.77–14.1613.64–28.21
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.833.93safe0.94–3.270.74–2.921.68–6.19safer0.64–3.570.45–3.211.09–6.78
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.913.68safe0.72–2.810.78–3.041.50–5.86safer0.45–3.080.49–3.330.94–6.41
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.296.32safe2.59–5.470.73–3.853.33–9.31safer2.21–5.850.31–4.272.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 2.09 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.18 | 3.25 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 6.43 4.69–8.18 4.23–8.64 | 10.00 6.39–13.60 5.44–14.56 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 10.44 6.52–14.37 5.43–15.46 | 16.45 12.88–20.01 11.92–20.97 | 26.89 19.40–34.38 17.35–36.43 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 6.70 3.76–9.65 2.93–10.47 | 10.75 8.07–13.44 7.34–14.17 | 17.46 11.83–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.01 0.70–5.55 | 4.81 3.16–6.46 2.67–6.96 | 7.93 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.51 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 3.47 1.26–5.68 0.68–6.26 | 6.43 4.43–8.43 3.90–8.96 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 13% 78% |
| Possession % | 33.15 26.36–39.94 24.69–41.61 | 67.03 60.25–73.82 58.58–75.49 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 326 259–393 240–411 | 669 602–735 585–753 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.31 64.28–72.34 62.98–73.63 | 85.03 80.71–89.36 79.40–90.66 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.46 7.62–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 10.46 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.16 | 20.93 15.14–26.71 13.64–28.21 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.94–3.27 0.64–3.57 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.93 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.59–5.47 2.21–5.85 | 2.29 0.73–3.85 0.31–4.27 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.