Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.980.943.92safe2.01–3.950.08–1.792.10–5.74safer1.76–4.200.00–2.021.62–6.22
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.3810.80safe5.56–9.291.64–5.127.20–14.41safer5.07–9.781.17–5.596.24–15.37
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.828.4828.31safe15.90–23.754.92–12.0520.82–35.80safer14.81–24.843.96–13.0118.77–37.85
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.465.3918.85safe10.51–16.402.71–8.0813.23–24.47safer9.68–17.231.98–8.8111.66–26.04
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.542.107.64safe3.66–7.420.45–3.764.11–11.18safer3.11–7.970.00–4.253.07–12.21
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.212.709.91safe4.99–9.420.70–4.705.70–14.12safer4.42–9.990.17–5.244.59–15.23
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction69.1432.26safe62.35–75.9325.48–39.05safer60.68–77.6023.80–40.72
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7013141016safe634–769248–381882–1149safer616–787230–398846–1185
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction83.7370.83safe79.70–87.7666.51–75.16safer78.41–89.0565.20–76.47
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1610.3020.46safe7.33–13.007.36–13.2514.68–26.25safer6.57–13.766.61–13.9913.18–27.75
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.723.58safe0.70–3.020.63–2.821.33–5.84safer0.40–3.320.34–3.100.74–6.43
Yellow cards
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.883.08safe0.15–2.250.75–3.010.90–5.26safer0.00–2.520.46–3.300.34–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.254.566.81safe0.81–3.683.01–6.123.82–9.80safer0.42–4.072.58–6.543.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.98 2.01–3.95 1.76–4.20 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.92 2.10–5.74 1.62–6.22 | 78% |
| Shots on target | 7.43 5.56–9.29 5.07–9.78 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.37 | 86% |
| Total shots | 19.82 15.90–23.75 14.81–24.84 | 8.48 4.92–12.05 3.96–13.01 | 28.31 20.82–35.80 18.77–37.85 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.46 10.51–16.40 9.68–17.23 | 5.39 2.71–8.08 1.98–8.81 | 18.85 13.23–24.47 11.66–26.04 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.54 3.66–7.42 3.11–7.97 | 2.10 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.64 4.11–11.18 3.07–12.21 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.21 4.99–9.42 4.42–9.99 | 2.70 0.70–4.70 0.17–5.24 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 90% |
| Possession % | 69.14 62.35–75.93 60.68–77.60 | 32.26 25.48–39.05 23.80–40.72 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 701 634–769 616–787 | 314 248–381 230–398 | 1016 882–1149 846–1185 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.73 79.70–87.76 78.41–89.05 | 70.83 66.51–75.16 65.20–76.47 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.33–13.00 6.57–13.76 | 10.30 7.36–13.25 6.61–13.99 | 20.46 14.68–26.25 13.18–27.75 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.34–5.81 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.56 3.01–6.12 2.58–6.54 | 6.81 3.82–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+