Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.172.99safe0.85–2.790.32–2.021.17–4.81safer0.60–3.040.09–2.250.69–5.29
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.419.76safe3.48–7.212.67–6.166.15–13.36safer2.99–7.702.20–6.625.20–14.32
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9112.9328.84safe11.98–19.839.37–16.4921.35–36.33safer10.89–20.928.41–17.4519.30–38.38
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.288.3318.61safe7.34–13.225.65–11.0112.99–24.24safer6.51–14.054.91–11.7511.42–25.80
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.663.077.72safe2.77–6.541.41–4.724.19–11.26safer2.23–7.080.92–5.213.15–12.29
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.774.3911.16safe4.56–8.982.39–6.396.95–15.37safer3.98–9.561.86–6.925.84–16.48
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction53.9845.80safe47.19–60.7739.01–52.58safer45.52–62.4437.34–54.25
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction464385848safe396–531318–451715–982safer378–549301–469679–1018
Pass accuracy %
48%
46%
homeawayprediction67.5567.35safe63.52–71.5863.03–71.68safer62.23–72.8761.72–72.98
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8712.7623.63safe8.04–13.719.81–15.7017.85–29.41safer7.28–14.479.06–16.4516.34–30.92
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.143.99safe0.69–3.011.05–3.241.74–6.25safer0.39–3.310.76–3.521.15–6.84
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.413.80safe0.34–2.431.28–3.541.62–5.97safer0.07–2.700.99–3.831.06–6.53
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.666.48safe1.39–4.262.10–5.213.49–9.47safer1.00–4.651.68–5.642.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.17 0.32–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.21 2.99–7.70 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.20–6.62 | 9.76 6.15–13.36 5.20–14.32 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.98–19.83 10.89–20.92 | 12.93 9.37–16.49 8.41–17.45 | 28.84 21.35–36.33 19.30–38.38 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.28 7.34–13.22 6.51–14.05 | 8.33 5.65–11.01 4.91–11.75 | 18.61 12.99–24.24 11.42–25.80 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.77–6.54 2.23–7.08 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.72 4.19–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.77 4.56–8.98 3.98–9.56 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.92 | 11.16 6.95–15.37 5.84–16.48 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 53.98 47.19–60.77 45.52–62.44 | 45.80 39.01–52.58 37.34–54.25 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 464 396–531 378–549 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 848 715–982 679–1018 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.55 63.52–71.58 62.23–72.87 | 67.35 63.03–71.68 61.72–72.98 | — | 48% 46% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 12.76 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 23.63 17.85–29.41 16.34–30.92 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.14 1.05–3.24 0.76–3.52 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 3.80 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.66 2.10–5.21 1.68–5.64 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.