Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.703.05safe0.38–2.310.85–2.561.22–4.87safer0.13–2.560.62–2.780.74–5.35
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.269.87safe2.75–6.473.52–7.006.26–13.47safer2.26–6.963.05–7.475.31–14.43
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2515.1130.36safe11.33–19.1811.54–18.6722.87–37.85safer10.24–20.2710.58–19.6320.82–39.90
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2510.5319.78safe6.31–12.197.85–13.2114.15–25.40safer5.48–13.027.11–13.9512.59–26.97
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.298.34safe2.17–5.942.63–5.944.81–11.88safer1.63–6.482.14–6.433.77–12.91
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.7510.73safe2.77–7.193.75–7.756.52–14.95safer2.19–7.773.22–8.295.41–16.05
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.7752.12safe40.98–54.5645.33–58.90safer39.31–56.2343.66–60.58
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction412436848safe345–480369–502714–982safer327–498352–520679–1017
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction65.0069.45safe60.97–69.0365.12–73.77safer59.68–70.3263.81–75.08
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3611.0622.42safe8.52–14.208.11–14.0016.63–28.20safer7.77–14.957.36–14.7515.13–29.70
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.773.81safe0.88–3.200.67–2.861.56–6.06safer0.58–3.510.38–3.150.97–6.65
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.603.30safe0.65–2.740.47–2.731.12–5.47safer0.38–3.010.18–3.020.56–6.03
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.306.56safe1.82–4.691.75–4.863.57–9.55safer1.43–5.081.32–5.282.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.56 | 1.70 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.78 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 5.26 3.52–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 9.87 6.26–13.47 5.31–14.43 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 15.25 11.33–19.18 10.24–20.27 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.58–19.63 | 30.36 22.87–37.85 20.82–39.90 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 10.53 7.85–13.21 7.11–13.95 | 19.78 14.15–25.40 12.59–26.97 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 4.29 2.63–5.94 2.14–6.43 | 8.34 4.81–11.88 3.77–12.91 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.29 | 10.73 6.52–14.95 5.41–16.05 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 47.77 40.98–54.56 39.31–56.23 | 52.12 45.33–58.90 43.66–60.58 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 412 345–480 327–498 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 848 714–982 679–1017 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.03 59.68–70.32 | 69.45 65.12–73.77 63.81–75.08 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.52–14.20 7.77–14.95 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 22.42 16.63–28.20 15.13–29.70 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.51 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.81 1.56–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.