Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.162.79safe0.66–2.600.31–2.020.97–4.62safer0.41–2.850.08–2.250.49–5.10
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.819.14safe3.46–7.192.07–5.565.53–12.74safer2.97–7.681.60–6.024.58–13.70
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2210.8426.06safe11.30–19.157.28–14.4018.58–33.55safer10.21–20.246.32–15.3616.53–35.60
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.616.9417.55safe7.67–13.564.26–9.6211.93–23.18safer6.84–14.393.52–10.3610.36–24.74
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.377.53safe2.27–6.041.72–5.023.99–11.06safer1.73–6.581.22–5.512.95–12.10
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.079.63safe3.35–7.772.07–6.075.42–13.84safer2.77–8.351.54–6.604.31–14.95
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.8052.26safe42.01–55.5945.47–59.04safer40.34–57.2643.80–60.72
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction437481918safe370–504415–548785–1052safer352–522397–565749–1088
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction69.2472.92safe65.21–73.2768.59–77.24safer63.92–74.5667.28–78.55
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3711.4822.85safe8.54–14.218.53–14.4217.07–28.64safer7.78–14.977.79–15.1715.57–30.14
Offsides
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.512.95safe0.29–2.610.41–2.600.70–5.21safer0.00–2.910.13–2.890.11–5.80
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.183.88safe0.65–2.751.05–3.311.70–6.06safer0.39–3.020.76–3.601.14–6.62
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.606.10safe1.07–3.942.04–5.153.11–9.09safer0.68–4.331.61–5.582.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.19 2.97–7.68 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.60–6.02 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.22 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 10.84 7.28–14.40 6.32–15.36 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.61 7.67–13.56 6.84–14.39 | 6.94 4.26–9.62 3.52–10.36 | 17.55 11.93–23.18 10.36–24.74 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.27–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.10 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.60 | 9.63 5.42–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 48.80 42.01–55.59 40.34–57.26 | 52.26 45.47–59.04 43.80–60.72 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 437 370–504 352–522 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.24 65.21–73.27 63.92–74.56 | 72.92 68.59–77.24 67.28–78.55 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.54–14.21 7.78–14.97 | 11.48 8.53–14.42 7.79–15.17 | 22.85 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.95 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.62 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.58 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.