Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.473.01safe0.58–2.510.61–2.321.19–4.84safer0.33–2.770.39–2.550.71–5.32
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.604.639.22safe2.74–6.462.88–6.375.62–12.83safer2.25–6.952.42–6.834.66–13.78
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5312.9726.50safe9.61–17.469.41–16.5319.01–33.99safer8.52–18.558.45–17.4916.96–36.04
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.559.7918.34safe5.61–11.497.11–12.4712.72–23.97safer4.78–12.326.37–13.2111.15–25.53
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.077.93safe1.98–5.742.41–5.724.39–11.46safer1.44–6.291.92–6.213.36–12.50
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.8110.03safe3.00–7.432.81–6.815.81–14.24safer2.43–8.002.28–7.344.71–15.35
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.7245.50safe48.93–62.5138.71–52.28safer47.26–64.1837.04–53.96
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction518407925safe451–585341–473791–1059safer433–603323–491756–1094
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.9772.51safe65.94–74.0068.18–76.83safer64.64–75.2966.87–78.14
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0211.6322.65safe8.18–13.868.69–14.5816.87–28.44safer7.43–14.627.94–15.3215.37–29.94
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.543.30safe0.61–2.930.44–2.631.05–5.56safer0.30–3.230.16–2.920.46–6.15
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.813.30safe0.45–2.540.68–2.941.13–5.48safer0.18–2.810.39–3.230.57–6.04
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.805.91safe1.67–4.541.24–4.362.92–8.90safer1.28–4.930.82–4.782.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.51 0.33–2.77 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 4.63 2.88–6.37 2.42–6.83 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.61–17.46 8.52–18.55 | 12.97 9.41–16.53 8.45–17.49 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 9.79 7.11–12.47 6.37–13.21 | 18.34 12.72–23.97 11.15–25.53 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.44–6.29 | 4.07 2.41–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.34 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 55.72 48.93–62.51 47.26–64.18 | 45.50 38.71–52.28 37.04–53.96 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 518 451–585 433–603 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.97 65.94–74.00 64.64–75.29 | 72.51 68.18–76.83 66.87–78.14 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.32 | 22.65 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.30 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.80 1.24–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.