Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.303.18safe0.91–2.840.45–2.161.36–5.00safer0.66–3.090.22–2.390.88–5.48
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.879.88safe4.15–7.882.13–5.616.28–13.49safer3.66–8.371.66–6.085.32–14.44
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2010.9728.18safe13.28–21.137.41–14.5420.69–35.66safer12.19–22.226.45–15.5018.64–37.71
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.087.7918.87safe8.13–14.025.11–10.4713.25–24.49safer7.30–14.854.38–11.2111.68–26.06
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.398.38safe3.11–6.881.74–5.044.85–11.92safer2.57–7.421.24–5.533.81–12.95
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.504.3610.85safe4.28–8.712.36–6.366.64–15.07safer3.71–9.281.83–6.895.53–16.17
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.0544.78safe49.26–62.8437.99–51.56safer47.59–64.5136.32–53.24
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction526399925safe459–593333–465792–1059safer441–612315–483756–1095
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction68.7067.77safe64.67–72.7363.45–72.10safer63.38–74.0262.14–73.41
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4911.1121.60safe7.65–13.338.16–14.0515.82–27.38safer6.90–14.097.42–14.8014.31–28.89
Offsides
52%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.413.47safe0.90–3.220.32–2.511.22–5.73safer0.60–3.520.03–2.790.63–6.31
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.733.25safe0.47–2.570.61–2.861.07–5.43safer0.20–2.830.31–3.150.52–5.99
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.614.096.70safe1.18–4.052.53–5.653.71–9.70safer0.79–4.442.11–6.072.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.91–2.84 0.66–3.09 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 3.87 2.13–5.61 1.66–6.08 | 9.88 6.28–13.49 5.32–14.44 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.20 13.28–21.13 12.19–22.22 | 10.97 7.41–14.54 6.45–15.50 | 28.18 20.69–35.66 18.64–37.71 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.30–14.85 | 7.79 5.11–10.47 4.38–11.21 | 18.87 13.25–24.49 11.68–26.06 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.88 2.57–7.42 | 3.39 1.74–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 8.38 4.85–11.92 3.81–12.95 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.28–8.71 3.71–9.28 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 10.85 6.64–15.07 5.53–16.17 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 56.05 49.26–62.84 47.59–64.51 | 44.78 37.99–51.56 36.32–53.24 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–612 | 399 333–465 315–483 | 925 792–1059 756–1095 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.70 64.67–72.73 63.38–74.02 | 67.77 63.45–72.10 62.14–73.41 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.42–14.80 | 21.60 15.82–27.38 14.31–28.89 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.79 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.31 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.73 0.61–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.25 1.07–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 4.09 2.53–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.