Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.633.12safe0.52–2.460.77–2.481.29–4.94safer0.27–2.710.54–2.710.82–5.42
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.5510.32safe2.90–6.623.81–7.306.71–13.92safer2.41–7.113.35–7.765.76–14.88
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0714.9128.98safe10.14–17.9911.35–18.4721.49–36.46safer9.05–19.0810.39–19.4319.44–38.51
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2810.0319.31safe6.34–12.237.35–12.7113.69–24.93safer5.51–13.066.61–13.4512.12–26.50
Blocked shots
46%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.847.92safe2.20–5.972.18–5.494.39–11.46safer1.66–6.511.69–5.983.35–12.49
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.325.4310.75safe3.11–7.543.43–7.436.54–14.96safer2.54–8.112.89–7.965.43–16.07
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4053.80safe39.61–53.1947.01–60.58safer37.94–54.8645.34–62.25
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction423486909safe356–490420–553775–1043safer338–508402–570740–1078
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction63.8771.75safe59.84–67.9067.42–76.07safer58.55–69.1966.12–77.38
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.3021.86safe7.72–13.398.36–14.2516.08–27.64safer6.96–14.157.61–15.0014.57–29.15
Offsides
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.153.79safe0.48–2.801.06–3.241.54–6.05safer0.18–3.110.77–3.530.95–6.64
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.093.60safe0.46–2.560.96–3.221.42–5.78safer0.20–2.830.67–3.510.87–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.126.68safe2.12–4.991.56–4.683.69–9.67safer1.73–5.381.14–5.102.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.63 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 3.12 1.29–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.62 2.41–7.11 | 5.55 3.81–7.30 3.35–7.76 | 10.32 6.71–13.92 5.76–14.88 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.07 10.14–17.99 9.05–19.08 | 14.91 11.35–18.47 10.39–19.43 | 28.98 21.49–36.46 19.44–38.51 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.28 6.34–12.23 5.51–13.06 | 10.03 7.35–12.71 6.61–13.45 | 19.31 13.69–24.93 12.12–26.50 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.84 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.92 4.39–11.46 3.35–12.49 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 5.43 3.43–7.43 2.89–7.96 | 10.75 6.54–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 46.40 39.61–53.19 37.94–54.86 | 53.80 47.01–60.58 45.34–62.25 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 338–508 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.87 59.84–67.90 58.55–69.19 | 71.75 67.42–76.07 66.12–77.38 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.61–15.00 | 21.86 16.08–27.64 14.57–29.15 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 49% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+