Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.252.89safe0.67–2.610.39–2.101.07–4.71safer0.42–2.860.16–2.330.59–5.19
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.449.99safe3.69–7.412.70–6.186.39–13.60safer3.20–7.902.23–6.655.43–14.55
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7413.5730.31safe12.81–20.6610.01–17.1422.83–37.80safer11.72–21.769.05–18.1020.78–39.85
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.098.2018.29safe7.15–13.035.52–10.8812.66–23.91safer6.32–13.864.78–11.6211.10–25.48
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.127.74safe2.74–6.501.47–4.774.20–11.28safer2.20–7.050.97–5.263.17–12.31
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.6210.48safe3.64–8.072.62–6.626.26–14.69safer3.07–8.642.09–7.165.16–15.80
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3643.73safe49.57–63.1536.95–50.52safer47.90–64.8235.28–52.19
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction498382880safe430–565316–449746–1013safer412–583298–466710–1049
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction69.8569.04safe65.82–73.8864.72–73.37safer64.53–75.1763.41–74.68
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.6124.46safe9.01–14.689.67–15.5618.68–30.24safer8.25–15.448.92–16.3117.17–31.74
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.043.53safe0.32–2.640.95–3.141.27–5.78safer0.02–2.940.66–3.430.68–6.37
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.113.82safe0.66–2.760.98–3.241.64–6.00safer0.39–3.020.69–3.531.08–6.55
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.616.66safe1.61–4.482.05–5.173.67–9.65safer1.22–4.871.63–5.592.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 9.99 6.39–13.60 5.43–14.55 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 16.74 12.81–20.66 11.72–21.76 | 13.57 10.01–17.14 9.05–18.10 | 30.31 22.83–37.80 20.78–39.85 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 18.29 12.66–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.20–7.05 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 7.74 4.20–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.16 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 56.36 49.57–63.15 47.90–64.82 | 43.73 36.95–50.52 35.28–52.19 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 498 430–565 412–583 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.85 65.82–73.88 64.53–75.17 | 69.04 64.72–73.37 63.41–74.68 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 12.61 9.67–15.56 8.92–16.31 | 24.46 18.68–30.24 17.17–31.74 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 2.04 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.61 2.05–5.17 1.63–5.59 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 34% 15% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+