Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.412.97safe0.59–2.530.55–2.261.15–4.79safer0.34–2.780.32–2.490.67–5.27
Shots on target
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.7610.08safe3.46–7.183.02–6.506.48–13.69safer2.97–7.672.55–6.975.52–14.64
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4313.7229.14safe11.50–19.3510.15–17.2821.66–36.63safer10.41–20.449.19–18.2419.61–38.68
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.758.6918.44safe6.81–12.696.01–11.3712.81–24.06safer5.98–13.525.27–12.1111.25–25.63
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.737.58safe1.97–5.732.07–5.384.04–11.11safer1.43–6.281.58–5.873.01–12.15
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.0410.03safe2.78–7.213.04–7.045.82–14.24safer2.21–7.782.50–7.574.71–15.35
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.9852.30safe41.19–54.7745.51–59.08safer39.52–56.4443.84–60.75
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction433454887safe366–501388–521754–1021safer348–519370–538718–1057
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction67.7272.88safe63.69–71.7568.55–77.20safer62.40–73.0467.24–78.51
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0412.4024.43safe9.20–14.879.45–15.3418.65–30.21safer8.44–15.638.70–16.0917.15–31.72
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.303.44safe0.97–3.290.21–2.401.18–5.69safer0.67–3.600.00–2.680.59–6.28
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.073.89safe0.77–2.870.94–3.191.71–6.07safer0.51–3.140.64–3.491.15–6.62
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.676.84safe1.74–4.612.11–5.223.85–9.83safer1.35–5.001.69–5.653.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.18 2.97–7.67 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 51% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.43 11.50–19.35 10.41–20.44 | 13.72 10.15–17.28 9.19–18.24 | 29.14 21.66–36.63 19.61–38.68 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 8.69 6.01–11.37 5.27–12.11 | 18.44 12.81–24.06 11.25–25.63 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 3.73 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.78–7.21 2.21–7.78 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.50–7.57 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 47.98 41.19–54.77 39.52–56.44 | 52.30 45.51–59.08 43.84–60.75 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 433 366–501 348–519 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.72 63.69–71.75 62.40–73.04 | 72.88 68.55–77.20 67.24–78.51 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.87 8.44–15.63 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 24.43 18.65–30.21 17.15–31.72 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.60 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 3.44 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.07 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.49 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 35% 15% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.