Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.123.48safe1.39–3.330.26–1.971.65–5.30safer1.14–3.580.03–2.201.18–5.78
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.4110.26safe4.98–8.711.67–5.166.65–13.86safer4.49–9.201.21–5.625.70–14.82
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.989.3427.32safe14.05–21.905.78–12.9019.83–34.81safer12.96–22.994.82–13.8617.78–36.86
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.096.3818.47safe9.15–15.043.70–9.0612.85–24.10safer8.32–15.862.96–9.8011.28–25.66
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.447.14safe2.82–6.580.78–4.093.60–10.67safer2.28–7.130.29–4.582.57–11.71
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.439.84safe4.19–8.611.43–5.435.62–14.05safer3.61–9.190.90–5.974.51–15.16
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.5838.08safe56.79–70.3731.29–44.86safer55.12–72.0429.62–46.53
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6563701027safe589–723304–437893–1160safer571–742287–454857–1196
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction81.0572.05safe77.02–85.0867.73–76.37safer75.72–86.3766.42–77.68
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1711.4720.64safe6.34–12.018.52–14.4114.86–26.43safer5.58–12.777.78–15.1613.36–27.93
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.014.30safe1.13–3.450.92–3.112.05–6.56safer0.83–3.750.63–3.391.46–7.15
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.243.53safe0.24–2.341.11–3.371.35–5.71safer0.00–2.610.82–3.660.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.687.01safe0.89–3.763.12–6.244.01–10.00safer0.50–4.152.70–6.663.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.36 1.39–3.33 1.14–3.58 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 3.48 1.65–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 65% 18% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.71 4.49–9.20 | 3.41 1.67–5.16 1.21–5.62 | 10.26 6.65–13.86 5.70–14.82 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.98 14.05–21.90 12.96–22.99 | 9.34 5.78–12.90 4.82–13.86 | 27.32 19.83–34.81 17.78–36.86 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.09 9.15–15.04 8.32–15.86 | 6.38 3.70–9.06 2.96–9.80 | 18.47 12.85–24.10 11.28–25.66 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.28–7.13 | 2.44 0.78–4.09 0.29–4.58 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.61 3.61–9.19 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.90–5.97 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.16 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 63.58 56.79–70.37 55.12–72.04 | 38.08 31.29–44.86 29.62–46.53 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 656 589–723 571–742 | 370 304–437 287–454 | 1027 893–1160 857–1196 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.05 77.02–85.08 75.72–86.37 | 72.05 67.73–76.37 66.42–77.68 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.17 6.34–12.01 5.58–12.77 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.78–15.16 | 20.64 14.86–26.43 13.36–27.93 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.75 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.39 | 4.30 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 4.68 3.12–6.24 2.70–6.66 | 7.01 4.01–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.