Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.843.00safe0.20–2.130.98–2.691.18–4.82safer0.00–2.380.75–2.920.70–5.30
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.729.32safe1.74–5.463.98–7.465.72–12.93safer1.25–5.953.51–7.934.76–13.88
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5915.2426.82safe7.66–15.5111.67–18.8019.34–34.31safer6.57–16.6010.72–19.7617.29–36.36
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.539.8817.41safe4.59–10.477.20–12.5611.79–23.04safer3.76–11.306.46–13.3010.22–24.60
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.234.257.48safe1.35–5.112.59–5.903.94–11.01safer0.81–5.662.10–6.392.91–12.05
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.559.91safe2.15–6.583.55–7.555.70–14.12safer1.58–7.153.01–8.084.59–15.23
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.4162.53safe30.62–44.2055.75–69.31safer28.95–45.8754.07–70.99
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction3756251001safe308–442559–692867–1134safer290–461541–709831–1170
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction70.7883.42safe66.75–74.8179.09–87.74safer65.46–76.1077.78–89.05
Fouls
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.408.6419.03safe7.56–13.235.69–11.5813.25–24.81safer6.80–13.994.94–12.3311.75–26.32
Offsides
37%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.534.82safe1.14–3.461.43–3.622.57–7.07safer0.83–3.761.14–3.911.98–7.66
Yellow cards
44%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.713.64safe0.88–2.980.58–2.831.46–5.81safer0.61–3.250.29–3.130.90–6.37
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
64%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.285.92safe2.20–5.080.73–3.842.93–8.92safer1.82–5.460.30–4.262.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.74–5.46 1.25–5.95 | 5.72 3.98–7.46 3.51–7.93 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.59 7.66–15.51 6.57–16.60 | 15.24 11.67–18.80 10.72–19.76 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.29–36.36 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 9.88 7.20–12.56 6.46–13.30 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.11 0.81–5.66 | 4.25 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.37 2.15–6.58 1.58–7.15 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.01–8.08 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 37.41 30.62–44.20 28.95–45.87 | 62.53 55.75–69.31 54.07–70.99 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 290–461 | 625 559–692 541–709 | 1001 867–1134 831–1170 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.78 66.75–74.81 65.46–76.10 | 83.42 79.09–87.74 77.78–89.05 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.23 6.80–13.99 | 8.64 5.69–11.58 4.94–12.33 | 19.03 13.25–24.81 11.75–26.32 | 61% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.83–3.76 | 2.53 1.43–3.62 1.14–3.91 | 4.82 2.57–7.07 1.98–7.66 | 37% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.25 | 1.71 0.58–2.83 0.29–3.13 | 3.64 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 44% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.20–5.08 1.82–5.46 | 2.28 0.73–3.84 0.30–4.26 | 5.92 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 64% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.